Hold on to your hats...

>> Wednesday, December 31, 2008

Both literally (as winds today will be very gusty...gusting over 35-40mph at times in the Piedmont...over 60mph at times in the mountains), and figuratively, as the weather pattern we are entering is one loaded with potential. See the video below, and then I will discuss it further below the video.



The windy conditions today are due to an arctic airmass moving into the region. Temperatures will fall this afternoon, and it will be chilly if you will be outside for New Year's Eve festivities this evening. Temps by midnight will likely be in the lower 30s to upper 20s. Lows tonight will bottom out in the lower 20s for most.

A sunny and chilly New Year's Day is on tap with highs in the low to possibly mid 40s.

We are still watching our little system for Friday. Whatever precip can mange to fall before lunching Friday could be wintry in nature, but at this point, and precip looks to be very light, and this, at least right now, just does not look like a big deal.

Another system will bring rain chances to our area Sunday. Then things get really interesting.

Cold air will begin to drain in here Monday, and that sets us up for what could be something more significant in the wintry weather department. Let me say...right now, this is still in the realm of 'fantasy' and 'potential.' However, the GFS has been on board with this idea for several runs now. The Euro model handles things differently, holding the energy back in the Southwest US much longer than the GFS. While that might be the correct solution, that wreaks of a known Euro bias.

All of this could change, but right now, the potential is there for wintry precip in the Carolinas Tuesday. We will see how things unfold.

I will try to post some thoughts from time to time either here on the main column or on the Twitter feed. I am off tomorrow, but I will be back on the air again Friday morning.

Happy New Year!

Read more...

Last Mild Day for a While....

>> Tuesday, December 30, 2008



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video.

Fantastic weather will unfold today with lots of sun and highs up toward the lower 60s. However, weather changes are on our doorstep, and an arctic cold front will move through early tomorrow. Behind that front, it will be a very blustery day tomorrow with northwest winds gusting in excess of 25 or 30mph at times. Highs temps tomorrow will likely occur around the middle of the day with falling afternoon temps.

For all of the New Year's Eve festivities, it will be chilly but dry. Temps should fall through the 30s tomorrow evening and possibly into the upper 20s by around midnight.

New Year's Day will be sunny and chilly with highs in the low to mid 40s for most.

I am still watching Friday's system. It is still possible that a little light wintry precip could work into portions of the Piedmont early Friday, but I stress the word light. It looks like any wintry precip would be brief and light and not a big deal. Some rain will round out Friday afternoon.

The weekend looks mainly dry with temps not too far from normal for this time of year.

Next week, I expect a big system to swing through Tuesday or Wednesday brining a healthy shot of rain. Behind that, the floodgates of arctic air will likely be open. From that point on, I think odds are we are in a rather cold and at least occasionally stormy pattern for a week or two. No details as of yet. See the video for more information on all of our upcoming weather.

And thanks to all of you who have participated in my little snow contest. The deadline to get your forecast in is tomorrow evening. Remember, the forecast site is the Charlotte airport, and you are forecasting whether or not measurable snow will occur this winter, and if so, on what day.

Get out and enjoy the weather today!

Read more...

Monday...

>> Monday, December 29, 2008



This morning, we have clouds and some showers lingering around the region. However, sunshine will return by this afternoon, and we will have a regular old sunny day for tomorrow....will be a nice site.

Temps will be pretty mild today and tomorrow with some lower 60s in place. However, a colder airmass moves in by Wednesday, and New Year's Day looks chilly with highs in the mid 40s at best. Lows for the first morning of 2009 will be way down in the 20s. Some snow showers will likely occur up in the High Country by Wednesday morning as well.

We are keeping an eye on Friday. Our next system will approach, and we will have a chilly and dry airmass in place Friday morning. If the rain arrives early Friday, then we might see a brief period of freezing rain Friday morning. It does not look like a huge deal right now, but we will watch it.

I am getting pretty confident that we will see a big-time arctic blast of air arrive by around the 8th or 9th, and the mid-month period looks pretty cold as a whole across the eastern US.

Read more...

Christmas Weekend Continues....

>> Friday, December 26, 2008



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video.

A wedge is setting up today, and that will mean cloudy, chilly weather with a chance of showers.

We should be milder tomorrow before some showers arrive later Sunday.

Monday through Wednesday look quiet with our next system due in here during the first couple of days of 2009.

Read more...

Merry Christmas!

>> Wednesday, December 24, 2008

I wish you all the warmest and merriest of Christmases. May God bless you and yours!

Luke 2: 1-20

1In those days Caesar Augustus issued a decree that a census should be taken of the entire Roman world. 2(This was the first census that took place while Quirinius was governor of Syria.) 3And everyone went to his own town to register.

4So Joseph also went up from the town of Nazareth in Galilee to Judea, to Bethlehem the town of David, because he belonged to the house and line of David. 5He went there to register with Mary, who was pledged to be married to him and was expecting a child. 6While they were there, the time came for the baby to be born, 7and she gave birth to her firstborn, a son. She wrapped him in cloths and placed him in a manger, because there was no room for them in the inn.

The Shepherds and the Angels
8And there were shepherds living out in the fields nearby, keeping watch over their flocks at night. 9An angel of the Lord appeared to them, and the glory of the Lord shone around them, and they were terrified. 10But the angel said to them, "Do not be afraid. I bring you good news of great joy that will be for all the people. 11Today in the town of David a Savior has been born to you; he is Christ[a] the Lord. 12This will be a sign to you: You will find a baby wrapped in cloths and lying in a manger."

13Suddenly a great company of the heavenly host appeared with the angel, praising God and saying,
14"Glory to God in the highest,
and on earth peace to men on whom his favor rests."

15When the angels had left them and gone into heaven, the shepherds said to one another, "Let's go to Bethlehem and see this thing that has happened, which the Lord has told us about."

16So they hurried off and found Mary and Joseph, and the baby, who was lying in the manger. 17When they had seen him, they spread the word concerning what had been told them about this child, 18and all who heard it were amazed at what the shepherds said to them. 19But Mary treasured up all these things and pondered them in her heart. 20The shepherds returned, glorifying and praising God for all the things they had heard and seen, which were just as they had been told.

Read more...

Christmas Eve...



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video. No new video will be cut tomorrow, but I should have a new one for you bright and early Friday morning.

First of all, a reminder about our little snow contest. See the blog post below for all of the details. Basically, post your forecast for whether or not you think the Charlotte airport will see accumulating snow for the remainder of this Winter in the comments section below. If you do, post the date that you think it will occur. The closest person will win some fantastic News 14 Carolina swag (possibly a pen, pencil, bookmark, or maybe even a cap!).

Some showers will push through tonight, and tomorrow's forecast is a bit tricky. Some modeling lingers the rain chances through much of the day. For the time being, I have continued to do with the idea of some drying taking place from north to south tomorrow, but it is a low confidence forecast.

Look for cool and drizzly weather Friday, followed by a very mild Saturday and some rain Sunday.

I still think a colder pattern should settle in here around the New Year. Looks like the 6z GFS has caught on to the idea....

You can keep tabs as NORAD tracks Santa's progress by clicking here!

Read more...

Another chilly day....some showers later tomorrow....

>> Tuesday, December 23, 2008



See the video above....been getting some questions about my thoughts on January, and I get into that in the video. In general, I think it is looking more and more likely that we will see some good shots of cold air as we get into the new year. Details are still sketchy. Like I said, see the video.

Some clouds rolled in here last night, and that kept our temps from really bottoming out. However, it is still cold this morning with lows in the low to mid 20s for most.

High clouds will be with us today with highs at best in the lower 40s. Clouds will thicken and lower tonight, and some drizzle will be possible tonight through tomorrow.

Out next system will swing through mainly tomorrow night, bringing some showers. The good news is that is looks like the system will be largely gone by Christmas morning with some sunshine making its return during the day.

More showery weather will be with us at times later Friday through the weekend before things dry out again by Monday.

On another note, for all of you snow fans out there, let's have a little contest. By posting in the comments section below, let's see who can predict our next accumulating snowfall.

The site will be the Charlotte airport. If you do not think we will see any accumulating snow for the remainder of this Winter, you can certainly forecast that. However, if you think we will see accumulating snow (and a 'trace' counts in this contest), you have to guess the date that it will occur.

The person who is correct or closest wins. If we do not see any snow, and multiple people forecasted as such, I will draw names out of a hat to pick a winner.

What do you win, you might ask. How about a fantastic News 14 Carolina bookmark, pencil, and pen? I don't know...I will see what I can dig out of the big closet here.

I will accept forecasts through January 1.

Read more...

Brrr.....frigid temps and wind chills this morning....

>> Monday, December 22, 2008



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video.

Read more...

Another foggy start....but milder today

>> Friday, December 19, 2008



Very thick fog again this morning. However, we should see some peeks of sunshine later today, and that will allow for highs to top out in the upper 60s to lower 70s for most.

The timing is a bit in question, but it still looks like our rain chance will arrive later tomorrow afternoon or tomorrow evening. The rain should end by midday Sunday.

A big blast of cold air will then settle in for Monday and Tuesday with highs struggling to make it into the lower 40s and lows well down into the 20s. In fact, I think some spots could see upper teens Tuesday morning.

The timing has slowed a bit, but I still think we will see rain chances later Christmas Eve into Christmas Eve night, but for the time being, Christmas day still looks dry.

The blog will probably be pretty quiet through the weekend. We are making a quick run out of town, but I will be back here to work my regular early morning shift Monday.

Read more...

Soupy morning....

>> Thursday, December 18, 2008



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video....in it, we look at our current weather,the weekend storm system, and the weather for Christmas!

Pea soup fog this morning across much of the region. That fog will slowly erode with time today, but we will still have lots of clouds today and tonight.

I do think we will see some peeks of sunshine tomorrow, and that should allow for highs to warm into the upper 60s to lower 70s for most Piedmont locations.

It still looks like we will have a rain chance from Saturday afternoon into Sunday morning, and then arctic air drills into our area behind that system and takes hold by Monday.

Some rain showers are a possibility Christmas Eve, and Christmas Day looks sunny and relatively chilly.

On another note, today we will be taking the kids for our annual trip to visit Santa. The kids are very excited...should be fun. They are all very aware that is is 7 days till Christmas....they each have their own 'countdown' item they do each day at home.

This will be our last Christmas with only three little Eastlets running around. We are expecting our fourth child at the end of March. Exciting times!

Read more...

Wedge erodes away....chilly Christmas week....

>> Wednesday, December 17, 2008



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video.

Lots of fog this morning.....

Read more...

Falling temps...

>> Tuesday, December 16, 2008



Lots and lots to talk about in the weather....I encourage you to watch the Carolina Weather Video above...good stuff today.

Let's hit the highlights....

- Temps drop today as a wedge sets up. Look for lots of clouds, light rain, drizzle, and fog today and tonight.

- The wedge will scour out tomorrow, but how quickly is a good question.....always tricky forecasts around here.

- It looks like another wedge could briefly set up Thursday.

- Friday still looks pretty warm with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

- A storm system moves through this weekend bringing some rain chances later Saturday and Sunday. Cold air will try to push in from the north Saturday night into early Sunday, so folks near the Virginia border might need to keep a watch out for ice concerns. But the system looks like mainly rain right now.

- A very cold blast of air will arrive by Monday and last through at least Christmas Eve. This will be a significant shot of cold air.

Read more...

Monday...

>> Monday, December 15, 2008



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video.

Read more...

Colder air settles back in...

>> Friday, December 12, 2008



Above it today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video.

Quiet weather has returned to the Carolinas, and it will last through the weekend. It is nice to see the sun out there today. Cooler air is also pushing in, and lows tonight will drop down into the 20s. Highs tomorrow will only be in the 40s for much of the Piedmont.

Milder weather will be with us for a chunk of next work week with highs returning to the 60s. There will also be some shower chances around mid-week.

As it stands now, I do not think we are entering a prolonged period of above average temps....I expect more cold air later in the month. See the video above for more details about next week.

Active week at work, so hoping to squeeze in at least a little downtime this weekend. Have a great weekned!

Read more...

Tornado Watch - Until 7pm

>> Thursday, December 11, 2008

Read more...

Southern Mississippi



Above is an image from Jones County Community College in southern Mississippi. Beautiful. Photo courtesy of WDAM-TV.

Read more...

Not your everyday storm system...



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video. Very impressive storm system....

Simply a very impressive storm system impacting the eastern US. Winter Storm Warnings are up in the Deep South, and snow accumulations of 3-5" are likely today ins parts of Mississippi and Alabama. Houston saw accumulating snow last night, and Baton Rough has seen thundersnow. Simply incredible....

Rain will be with us through today and into tonight. Storm total amounts could exceed 3" in some spots, so we will continue to monitor for flash flooding problems.

We are also watching severe weather possibilities. The main threat of severe weather looks to be south and east of I-85, and damaging winds and an isolated tornado are the primary threats.

Tonight, as the system begins to pull away, some wet snow could mis in with the rain in the northwest Piedmont. This does not look like a big deal, but I can't rule out a slushy, light accumulation up toward Surry and Yadkin County.

Read more...

Afternoon severe threat....

>> Wednesday, December 10, 2008

The folks around the Charlotte metro need to pay attention to the weather this afternoon. A storm showing lots of rotation is moving through the upstate of South Carolina and, if it holds together, will move into the southern Piedmont of NC later today.



I am also getting more concerned about severe weather potential tomorrow....lots of shear and dynamics in play.

Make sure your weather radios have good batteries in them in the event watches/warnings are required today, tonight, or tomorrow.

Read more...

Very Impressive Storm System....



Above is today's edition of the video. Lots of good stuff in there....give it a watch.

Amazing to watch this storm system this morning. Snow has flown deep south into Texas with flakes near Austin and San Antonio. Meanwhile, severe weather continues in Alabama and Georgia as I am typing this.

This forecast is an extraordinarily complex one, and it is one about which we will have to continue to adjust the details. Here is how things look as of now...

- We will see showers today, and as the atmosphere gets more unstable, some storms are likely in the Piedmont this afternoon into tonight. Some of the storms could produce damaging winds, and an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. Highs today should warm into the lower 70s in many Piedmont locations.

- A cold front will try to nose into the northwest Piedmont later tonight and likely stall out somewhere in the western part of the state tomorrow morning. Rain, and some storms, will continue tonight, especially in the western half of the state. Exactly how far southeast that cold front makes it is crucial in terms of tomorrow's severe weather threat.

- At this point, I think that boundary will stall out somewhere around the northwest Piedmont and then hold steady there into midday tomorrow. As an area of low pressure lifts into the Carolinas from the Gulf, it will ride along that boundary. Anywhere along and to the south of it will have a severe weather threat tomorrow, while places to the north of it will not see severe weather, but plenty of rain. Total rainfall amounts of greater than two inches seem likely across much of the Piedmont.

- Under a deep cold core upper level low, snow will fly in the Lower Mississippi Valley and Deep South tomorrow. There will likely be a strip across Mississippi and Alabama that sees 4 or 5 inches of snow. That upper air low will fill in a bit and move into the Carolinas tomorrow night. I still think some wet snowflakes are possible with the feature, but at this point, it doesn't look like too big a deal. But sometimes those systems have surprises up their sleeves, so it bears watching.

Read more...

Big-ticket storm system...

>> Tuesday, December 09, 2008



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video. I encourage you to take a look at it....lots on the menu today, and sometimes it is easier to show you things that it is to tell you through typing.

Quite a dynamic and complex storm system taking shape. Today, severe weather is a concern in the Lower Mississippi Valley. Meanwhile, snow is flying in the Midwest and portions of New England.

Around here, this storm system will impact us in several phases. Today and tonight, we will see some showers at times with highs in the low to mid 50s. Tonight, temperatures will hold steady or even rise a bit as the southerly flow gets even more pronounced.

The airmass will likely become unstable enough tomorrow for the possibility of a few thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours. We will watch for any severe weather potential. The best shot of seeing severe weather in the Carolinas looks to be along and to the south and east of I-85.

Then, another area of low pressure will develop in the northern Gulf and lift up in our direction. As it stands now, I expect a soaking rain Wednesday night and Thursday.

Later in the day Thursday, the temps will begin to drop, and it is still possible that portions of the Carolinas will see this system end as a little bit of snow. The best chance of that will be in the mountains, foothills, and northwest Piedmont.

Like I mentioned, this is a very complex storm system, and the details will continue to change as we get more data available.

Read more...

Big storm system this week....

>> Monday, December 08, 2008



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video. In it, I show you some of the differences in the modeling regarding this week's system.

Dry today with some high clouds and highs in the 40s.

Huge game tonight at Bank of America Stadium....Monday Night Football....9-3 Bucs at the 9-3 Panthers. This is a big game in our house....my wife is a big Bucs fan, and I am a Panthers fan. So, I will be dragging tomorrow morning....have to stay up to watch the game tonight. As for the weather at the game, clouds will roll in with temps dropping into the upper 30s, but no precip.

The chance of light rain begins tomorrow, and then the rain will likely be heavy at times later Wednesday into Thursday. At least 2-3" of rain look possible at this point. Also, a few thunderstorms can't be ruled out, but this does not have the look of a big severe weather outbreak at this point.

Lots of folks wondering about the snow chance later Thursday. Again, be sure and see the video above. The 0z GFS looked very nice if you like snow in the western Carolinas. The 0z European model was similar, but a bit slower and a bit warmer. The 6z GFS has come in MUCH slower than even the European, and keeps things all rain in the Piedmont. Frankly, I do not think the 6z GFS handled things correctly, but we will see in later runs.

So, things remain unchanged in terms of my opinion. I still think it is possible we could see some snow on the backside of this system later Thursday or Thursday night, especially in the northwest Piedmont. But, it remains a big question mark at this juncture, and it remains just that....a possibility. The models will continue to struggle to resolve the details of this system due to its very complex nature, so we will not be able to tell you with certainty what should happen for a couple of more days. Stay tuned....

Read more...

Sunday...

>> Sunday, December 07, 2008

Thanks so much for all of your report of seeing or not seeing snow. I appreciate it!

Cold start to the day today with lots of temps in the 20s. We should see lots of sunshine through the day with highs in the 40s.

Our big storm system this week continues to take shape on the modeling. As it looks now, some rain is possible Tuesday, then rain and some storm look possible Wednesday. We will have to watch for severe weather potential. Then, the models remain all over the place with the handling of the last piece of energy with the trough Thursday.

Some modeling continues to indicate the chance of at least a bit of snow on the backside of the system, while some does not. No need to get excited or disappointed at this point.

Everyone have a great Sunday!

Read more...

Snow

>> Saturday, December 06, 2008


Some of this is not reaching the ground, but some snow is indeed falling around parts of North Carolina this afternoon. Thanks for the reports!

Read more...

Early afternoon....


12z GFS looks like a nice scenario for snow in the Carolinas Thursday. But again, it is only one run of one model, and it will likely change. But, at least there is somewhat of an agreement amongst a lot of the modeling as of now that we will see a low pressure ride up near the coast late in the week. This would be after the rain Tuesday and especially Wednesday.

Again, no reason to dust off the sleds just yet, but things could certainly look a lot worse from this long away.

Read more...

Quick hit...

Good Saturday morning! Watching the clipper today....still think some flakes are possible across the Piedmont today. Nothing major, but something to watch.

Also, our Thursday system is still there in some form on most modeling this morning. Don't take to heart ANY details on next week's system just yet.

If you want to see something pretty, check out the global Canadian run from 0z today at 132 and 144 hours.

132 hour 0z Canadian

144 hour oz Canadian

Off to meet the coaches this morning for my daughters cheer leading. Then, back home for lots of football!

Looks like I am in the market for a new camcorder. My Canon ZR400 looks like the playback feature has bit the dust. So, any and all advice and suggestions are welcome!

If anyone sees any flakes later, let me know by comment here on the blog or by email if you don't mind.

Read more...

Fresh Batch of Arctic Air...

>> Friday, December 05, 2008



Above is today's edition of the Carolina weather video...see it for some of the graphics for this weekend's clipper and the big storm system next week.

I still think some flakes could fly later tomorrow into tomorrow evening....especially up toward the Triad and Triangle zones. It does not look like anything significant, but fun to watch if you are lucky enough to see some flakes.

Things stay cold around here for a while...lots of highs in the 40s and lows in the 20s.

A lot of questions remain with our big system next week. A lot of the uncertainty with how things will evolve up at 500mb. The 0z and the 6z run of the GFS handled that energy in a different fashion, and thus different weather results around here next Thursday. The European model is even slower, but that is often a bias in the European model....holding upper level energy back too long in the southwest US.

See the video.....easier to show you than type to you what the differences were for us on the 0z versus the 6z GFS.

Read more...

Cold front moving in....

>> Thursday, December 04, 2008



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video.

A few showers are possible this evening and tonight as out next cold front pushes through. Behind the front, colder air arrives, and we will have a colder than normal airmass in place for a large portion of the next week or so.

Over the weekend, out clipper system is still set to move through Saturday night. A few snowflakes are possible in the Piedmont (and certainly in the mountains, snow will occur), especially from the Triad zones over toward the Triangle.

The big system is still on the maps for next week. The 0z and 6z GFS have indicated a mainly rain-producing system for the Piedmont. In fact, the 6z run really screams a severe weather threat around here Tuesday night.

This will be a complex system, and we probably will not know exactly how this one will evolve for several more days.

I am getting a strong idea that a very significant blast of cold air could push in here behind that system for the second half of next week. We will see....

Read more...

Next week's system...

>> Wednesday, December 03, 2008

Well, the 12z and 18z GFS sure came in with interesting solutions around here next week. Those runs produced a scenario that would be a good dose of rain and then a thumping of snow for the western Piedmont and mountains (mostly snow for the mountains). Below is a frame from the 12z GFS.

Exciting to look at, but please, let me caution you. For that scenario to occur, lots of variables have to line up in exactly the right fashion. It is certainly possible, but I would not plan on breaking out the sleds just yet.

No doubt something interesting to watch over the next several days. Bring on the snow!

Read more...

Weekend clipper...

Still need to watch the weekend clipper system. The 12z GFS ensembles are much wetter with the system than the operational runs have been. Still something to watch to see if parts of the state can see some flakes over the weekend....

Read more...

Nice today...weather changes coming...



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video. Quite cold this morning with a hard freeze again taking place. In the video, I discuss the weather over the next week or so which will occasionally feature some precip chances.

Frigid start this morning....20s...even some teens in spots. 50s for highs though today and tomorrow.

The next cold front is slowing down bit on recent modeling, and it now looks like tomorrow night into Friday morning for the frontal passage here. Still looks like a few showers possible, but nothing overly significant.

Colder air arrives Friday into next week.

A clipper system will drop through over the weekend... I think a few flurries are possible later Saturday or early Sunday, but the system looks moisture-starved.

A more significant system will roll through next week. The GFS is one of the quickest with that system, moving it in early Tuesday. The Euro is much slower. Right now, looks like mostly rain, but I still can't rule out a bit of wintry precip at the onset if the GFS is correct.

Overall, I don't see any huge winter weather possibilities in the immediate future....but the pattern will be active, and there are lots of question marks, so stay tuned!

Read more...

Tuesday...

>> Tuesday, December 02, 2008



A new edition of the video is available above. No real changes on my thoughts here....some light precip can't be ruled out over the weekend, but most modeling is on the dry side. See the video for details.... 

Read more...

Video

>> Monday, December 01, 2008



All right....here is today's video....second attempt was a success!

Looks like some snow showers have 'escaped' from the mountains.....see the radar shot below.

And, for those of you with an interest in astronomy, check this out this evening.

Read more...

Re-boot....

Do you ever have one of those days where it seems you just need to crawl back in bed and start the day over again? Today has been like that for me so far.

Clock went off at its usual time this morning, but I was so out of it, I hit the snooze button twice instead of my usual one time. So, when I finally realize what is going on, I am running a bit behind. Not too bad, but just a bit. So, I go through the normal getting ready process a bit faster than usual. It is then time to head downstairs to cut today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video. Got all of the graphics saved, set everything up, and then cut the video. Went to edit and publish it and the audio and video are out of sync and messed up. Ugh. No time to re-cut the video as it is time to head into the weather office.

I get into the weather office, and I am beginning to put together today's forecast. I turn around from one computer to the next one, and uh oh....just turned over my big travel mug 2/3rds of the way full of coffee. Somehow it turns over at exactly the right angle for the lid to pop off and spill coffee all over the desk and down onto my pants.

What can you do? Oh well, must be Monday.

I will try to get a new edition of the video posted later today if time and software allows.

Very breezy today with southwest winds gusting 20-30mph at times. The weather will be cool and quiet through mid-week, and then an arctic cold front will move through Thursday. That airmass is of pure arctic origins, and it will likely bust a lot of the model numbers for Friday into the weekend. I will continue to go a good bit under the MOS guidance for temps late in the week.

And, I am still no more confident about any precip chances over the weekend or early the following week. Models are still all over the place. I think odds are some precip will occur at some point in there, but when, how much, and what type...I just don't know yet. Could wind up as mostly rain in the Piedmont, could wind up being dry.....but we will see. Just way too many question marks right now.

**6am update....just finished eating some oatmeal for breakfast, and I look down to see the huge patchy of oatmeal perched directly on my tie. Fantastic. I think it is nap time.....

Read more...

Rainy Sunday Morning...

>> Sunday, November 30, 2008

A steady, soaking rain greeted us this morning, and we will have continues chances of rain as the remainder of today unfolds. However, through the afternoon hours, the rain will be more scattered in nature that what we have seen this morning. Temps will remain in the chilly 40s all day.

Drier air will work in tomorrow, and it will be breezy tomorrow afternoon as that drier air arrives.

We will see lots of sunshine Tuesday and Wednesday, and then an arctic cold front will move through Thursday. The airmass behind that front is truly arctic in nature, and that is the type of airmass that will wind up significantly lower than what the computer model numbers (MOS data, specifically) show ahead of time. With my forecast package this morning, I have significantly undercut the MOS numbers Friday through Sunday.

As for precip, our peek-a-boo storm system for next weekend continues to play hide and seek with us on the modeling. There is just simply no way to know exactly how things will unfold at this point. I will continue to mention the possibility of a storm system at some point over the weekend or early the following week, but that is as specific as I can be right now.

Should be fun to watch the Panthers up at Lambeau this afternoon....some snow will likely fall during the game with temps in the 30s and gusty northeasterly winds.

Everyone have a great Sunday. I will be back in my normal Triad morning shift tomorrow morning, and I should have a new edition of the Carolina Weather Video posted very early tomorrow morning.

Read more...

Saturday....

>> Saturday, November 29, 2008

I am in for the weekend shift in the Charlotte and Triad zones this weekend.

Classic wedge event us unfolding for the Piedmont today with temps hovering in the 40s for much of the day and occasional, mainly light rain. That will continue tonight.

I will say the airmass that has pushed into the Triad area is much drier than the model indicated. With that in mind, I think a few sleet pellets or snow flakes could be mixed in at times, but that should not be a big deal.

The main storm system will approach tomorrow, and that is when the have the highest potential for some heavier rates of rain. There will be a pretty sharp gradient northwest to southeast in the rain totals, but some folks might pick up over an inch.

Overall, the new week will be fairly cool with temperatures a bit below average most days.

I am keeping an eye on next weekend. That is a time period I have been highlighting for a while for storm potential, and there has been a decent system showing up on most modeling around Saturday. In fact, taken at face value, last night's run of the Canadian model and yesterday's European model was a big snowstorm for the western Carolinas.

Below are those runs of the Canadian and the Euro I mentioned for next weekend.


Read more...

Mild Black Friday....Chilly Rain on the Way...

>> Friday, November 28, 2008



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video.

I hope you all had a wonderful Thanksgiving. In the East household, we had a nice Thanksgiving. My wife prepared a beautiful and spectacular dinner with all of the trimmings....it was really something. I am so thankful for all of the blessings God has bestowed on me. He has blessed me more than I could have ever imagined or deserved, no doubt.

So we Thanksgiving dinner, and then we began the annual routine of beginning to put out the Christmas decorations. Now, the only holiday I really go all out for in terms of decorations is Christmas. I love decorating for Christmas, and I always like to start on Thanksgiving afternoon.

This year was no exception...we got a large portion of the outdoor decorations put out yesterday afternoon. Today, after work I will watch the Egg Bowl (Mississippi State-Ole Miss football game, for those that don't know), up to the roof I will go to put the roof lights up. After that, if time allows, the inside decorating will begin. Love it.

In terms of the weather, one more relatively mild day today with highs in the lower 60s in most spots. Big changes take place by tomorrow with highs tomorrow and Sunday only in the 40s as rain chances arrive. We will see one wave of rain move through the Carolinas tomorrow, and then a second wave, probably heavier and more significant, move through Sunday. It will be chilly, but this is mainly a rain event for the Piedmont. With that said, I can't rule out a few snow flakes or sleet pellets mixed in there at some point, but that would not be a big deal...just not enough cold air around for anything big in terms of wintry weather.

As colder air invades behind the system, the mountains will likely get a pretty good thumping of snow Sunday night and Monday. A couple of snow showers are even possible in the Piedmont Monday.

It will be chilly into mid-week next week, and then a push of arctic air could move in here by next weekend. We shall see....

Read more...

>> Thursday, November 27, 2008

Everyone have a safe and blessed Thanksgiving! Thanks be to God for all of His rich blessings!

Read more...

Cool Sunshine...

>> Wednesday, November 26, 2008



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video.

I am short on time this morning....lots of behind the scenes stuff at work today. See the video for details to our forecast. Interesting system Sunday into Monday...close to wintry precip.....but nothing to get excited about yet.

Read more...

Another Push of Chilly Air

>> Tuesday, November 25, 2008



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video.

Breezy conditions today as another push of colderair settles in. Lows tonight will drop down into the upper 20s in many spots.

The weather for the big travel day tomorrow as well as Thanksgiving looks very quiet with lots of sun and relatively cool temps.

By Friday, the GFS continues to advertise a rain chance pushing through the Piedmont.

There is the potential for another storm system to affect the Carolinas Sunday into Monday. I will say that it could be a relatively close call in terms of some possible wintry precip, but as of now, I am thinking just a cold rain potential.

Read more...

Carolina Weather Video - Monday Edition

>> Monday, November 24, 2008



A quick hit of some mainly light rain is moving through at midday. The better and more widespread rain chances arrive this evening.

Read more...

Monday Morning...

Good morning on this Thanksgiving week! I am off today....will be back in the office tomorrow. So, at least this morning....no video. I am off to a function with my 3 year old this morning.

A cold front will move through tonight and bring us a quick shot of rain. This will not be a long-duration event, but many spots could pick up a quarter of half an inch of rain.

Another rain-maker will move through toward the end of the week....and if you are looking for winter weather, I still think the pattern as we get into December looks favorable overall. But I can't hone in on anything specific just yet. We may come up empty, but the overall pattern still looks pretty good to me.

Also, upon further review, I saw yesterday that the official low Saturday morning in Charlotte was in fact 13! Wow! Didn't have a chance to post that yesterday.....very impressive!

Read more...

Record Cold....

>> Saturday, November 22, 2008

Some more record low temps this morning....see the video for a quick run-down of some of the lows.

Read more...

Brrr....

>> Friday, November 21, 2008

Just made a quick run to the store, and man does it feel cold out there. 5pm temps are in the 30s with wind chills in the Piedmont in the 20s. Up at Jefferson, in the mountains, the wind chill is currently 4 degrees.

Going to be very cold tonight....for the Piedmont, look for lots of lows in the upper teens. By all means, bring the pets indoors, and you probably want to protect your outdoor exposed faucets and pipes. This is a very cold night even in January.

Bundle up, throw another log on the fire, and enjoy your weekend!

Read more...

Snowy start to Friday for some....



Above is this morning's edition of the Carolina Weather Video.

Snow fell this morning in the Triad over to Raleigh-Durham...and the northern portions of the Charlotte region saw some flakes as well.

The big story now becomes a significant blast of arctic air. Highs temps will struggle into the low to mid 40s today, and then I expect upper teens to lower 20s tonight.

Please email in those snow picture from this morning!!!

Read more...

Special Edition of the Video...Snow Chances Tonight

>> Thursday, November 20, 2008




Above is a new edition of the video I just cut regarding the chances of some snow showers or light snow tonight and early tomorrow morning. In short, anywhere in the Piedmont is fair game to see a bit of this activity, but at most it appears we are talking about a dusting on some elevated or grassy surfaces.

Should be fun to watch......see the video for some good info.

Read more...

Another Arctic Plunge Heading Our Way....

Read more...

Grandfather Mountain Cold...

WINTER WEATHER BREAKS DAILY LOW TEMPERATURE RECORD

GRANDFATHER MOUNTAIN, NC - Unseasonably cold weather broke the record for the daily low temperature November 19 at the official US Weather Service reporting station located next to the Mile High Swinging Bridge on Grandfather Mountain.

The temperature dipped to 8 degrees early in the morning breaking the previous daily low record of 10 degrees set in 1968.

The all time lowest temperature ever recorded in November at Grandfather Mountain is -12 degrees on November 15, 1959.

For more information on the 53 years of weather data from Grandfather Mountain, see the interactive weather database at http://www.grandfather.com

Read more...

One arctic blast here...another en route....

>> Wednesday, November 19, 2008



Frigid temps to start our day today....most folks in the upper teens to lower 20s. Looks like the Charlotte airport hit 18 this morning! Brrr. Highs today will be in the 40s for the Piedmont in spite of lots of sun. However, the winds will not be a big factor today, so it will feel a bit more comfortable today compared to yesterday.

We will drop into the 20s tonight before we see one day of 50s for highs tomorrow before another big push of cold air arrives for Friday and the weekend. In fact, that next push of arctis air will be just as cold, if not a touch colder, than the current one.

Still lots of questions regarding next week. Temps should remain at least somewhat on the cool side, and some modeling indicates it could be quite chilly for Thanksgiving weekend. And I am still watching the first few days of December for a big storm system to roll through....we will see.

Read more...

Convective Snow Showers

>> Tuesday, November 18, 2008


You don't see convective snow showers in the Piedmont in November too frequently. Pretty amazing. These snow showers will be gone by around sunset....they are driven by the heating of the day.

Read more...

Frigid Temps...



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video. And here is a shot from Beech Mountain this morning....nothing like a cold morning with mountain snow on the ground.


Read more...

Arctic Blast Heading Our Way...

>> Monday, November 17, 2008



Back at the Big 14 this morning after taking a week off to enjoy some time with my family. I did not get back in town until yesterday evening, so it truly was a week away from all of the normal routine type of things. Very nice to unplug for a while and get away from the email and TV.

The big weather story over the next couple of days is the blast of arctic air that will invade tomorrow. Highs will struggle to make it up into the low to mid 40s tomorrow afternoon.....add in a stiff northwest wind, and wind chill values will be in the 20s and 30s all day long. It is also quite possible that some spots will see some flurries in the Piedmont and/or coastal plain tomorrow. I think I will pick up some stuff for chili later today....

A hard freeze will occur Wednesday morning, and we will only be in the 40s again Wednesday afternoon.

Still come conflicting signals for the weekend. The 0z run of the GFS portrayed a storm system rolling in here Sunday, while the European has no such storm for the Southeast. The 6z GFS has now flipped to a cold and dry scenario for the weekend, and I am leaning toward that solution being the correct one. We shall see.

Read more...

Off for a while...

>> Sunday, November 09, 2008


I will be off this week and away from the computer. I will be back in the saddle again Monday, November 17 early in the morning. The next edition of the video, as well as the next likely blog post, will be then as well.

Everyone have a great week!

Read more...

Paloma...

>> Saturday, November 08, 2008




I am on the road this weekend, but I wanted to point out powerful Hurricane Paloma....now a Category 4 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 140mph. Paloma will move across Cuba tonight and then weaken as it approaches the Bahamas.

Read more...

Cooler weather on the way....Paloma in The Caribbean

>> Friday, November 07, 2008



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video. You can tell I am on some sinus medication this morning....or is it just that it is Friday....or both. Coherent sentences are a bit of a struggle this morning.

Read more...

Beautiful Weather for us....Paloma in the Caribbean

>> Thursday, November 06, 2008



Fantastic weather will unfold for us today and tomorrow with highs in the 70s and lots of sun. Enjoy!

A cold front will sweep through late tomorrow night into Saturday morning. Some showers are possible as the front pushes through, and then cooler temps filter in for the weekend.

The pattern next week still looks like an active and rather cool one. One system will move through Tuesday and Tuesday night and another will move through Friday and Saturday.

Paloma became a tropical storm with the 4am advisory this morning, and the system should steadily strengthen over the next couple of days. Paloma stands a good chance of becoming a hurricane by the weekend.

There remain two options with the eventual track of Paloma...the same options I outlined in yesterday morning's post. One option is the system will eventually turn northeastward and move across Cuba into the western Atlantic by late around Monday. The second option is that the trough over the eastern US this weekend does not pick up Paloma, and the system, or at least part of it, is left to meander in the western Caribbean. We shall see....

Read more...

TD 17 Forms....

>> Wednesday, November 05, 2008

TD 17 has formed in the western Caribbean...this is the tropical disturbance I was talking about in the Caribbean Sea in this morning's post and video. The options I outlined below remain unchanged. This could very well become a hurricane over the next few days.

The information about TD 17 on the right is hot and auto-updating.....

Read more...

Improving Conditions....Tropical Mischief....



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video....give it a look....a lot on the forecasting table today.

The coastal low that has been really battering the Outer Banks will slowly pull away today. That will mean improvement in our weather with some sun trying to work in with time today. Highs today will be in the 60s.

We will see lots of sunshine tomorrow and Friday as highs surge into the 70s. However, we will see a cold front drop through Friday night and change us back to cooler weather over the weekend.

The storm track looks to get pretty active next week. One system will move through and bring some shower chances Tuesday or Wednesday, and it looks like another system, probably a stronger one, will move through to end the week.

Tropics...

Sure looks like we have a tropical depression forming in the Caribbean Sea. Most modeling indicates strengthening of this system, and some even bring it to hurricane status.

Whatever does develop has two track options. Number 1, the trough swinging into the eastern US this weekend picks is up and pulls it across Cuba and the Bahamas this weekend. Option number 2 is the weekend trough misses is, and the system meanders around the western Caribbean until early next week. From there, it would probably get picked up ahead of the trough later next week.

See the weather video above for some additional information....

Read more...

Damp Election Day...

>> Tuesday, November 04, 2008

Read more...

Rain chances rolling in...

>> Monday, November 03, 2008



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video.

It was a fun and active weekend in the East household. Like I mentioned in a previous post, my youngest daughter turned 2 last Thursday, and Saturday was my wife's birthday. Halloween was of course Friday night. So, lots of activities packed in over the weekend, and we had a good time.

Today, we are watching a coastal area of low pressure develop. We already have lots of clouds in place, and we will see rain chances developing in with time. A few showers are possible this afternoon and tonight, but the best rain chance will be during the day tomorrow.

The end of the work week will be mild with highs in the 70s, but then a sharp cold front will swing through around Friday night, and we will return to some chillier weather over the weekend into early next week.

I am still trying to get my mind wrapped around how things will unfold next week.

Read more...

Beautiful Weekend Weather...

>> Friday, October 31, 2008



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video.

Milder weather is arriving, and highs today will be in the upper 60s in many spots....low to mid 70s for tomorrow.

For the trick-or-treaters this evening, no problems at all with a clear sky and temps slipping into the 50s. Lots of sun will be with us all weekend.

A big trough looks to swing in here toward the end of next week and bring some rain chances followed by a turn back to colder temps. See the video above for details. I think much of mid-November could be pretty chilly.

At the top of the page it my brand new Winter Outlook Video....lots of folks have been asking about my ideas for the upcoming Winter, and there they are as of now.

Read more...

Frost on the Pumpkin.....again....

>> Thursday, October 30, 2008




Many locations made it down into the 20s this morning, including 27 in Charlotte and 29 at the PTI Airport in the Triad. We will have one more cold night tonight with most Piedmont spots near or just below freezing tomorrow morning.

A warning trend is beginning, and we will see highs up toward the upper 60s tomorrow with low to mid 70s Saturday. Highs back down into the 60s again Sunday.

Great weather for trick-or-treating tomorrow evening with a clear sky and temps falling into the 50s.

An Atlantic fetch of moisture will push in here next week, and we could see some showers at some point...probably Wednesday or Thursday. But that is not set in stone just yet.

I still like the idea of heading back toward a colder pattern again between November 7-15 or so....

On another note, my youngest daughter, Julianna, turns 2 today! Truly amazing....

Read more...

Wednesday....chilly weather continues...

>> Wednesday, October 29, 2008



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video. Toward the end of the video, I give you some initial thoughts on the first half of November.

Another couple of cool days are on the way with highs in the 50s for much of the Piedmont today and then 50s to lower 60s tomorrow. Everyone should be back in the 60s for highs Friday.

Tonight will probably be the coldest night of this cold snap with lows in much of the Piedmont in the upper 20s to lower 30s.

The weather looks great for all for all of the little ghosts and goblins Friday evening with no rain and temps dropping into and through the 50s.

Ski season! The Cataloochie ski resort opened for the season yesterday, and many of the North Carolina resort areas continue to make snow!

And, how about that snow up in the Northeast. Parts of New York have picked up 10-20" of snow! Wow!

Read more...

Brrr.....

>> Tuesday, October 28, 2008

Read more...

Sleet!

>> Monday, October 27, 2008

Some areas of precip did in fact move through portions of the state this afternoon, and it continues in eastern North Carolina this evening. In many spots, the atmosphere was cold enough for some sleet to occur....this was in portions of the Triad and the Triangle. It is not often you see that in October here in the Piedmont!

I have to say....Stormcast, our in-house RPM model, picked up on this, and the radar presentation this afternoon looks very much like the RPM model this morning. So, score 1 for Stormcast on this one.

Cold air will continue settling into the region, and temps will drop quickly this evening.

About time to get a fire going in the fireplace!

Read more...

Cold air arrives today...

Read more...

Still think freeze coming this week...

>> Sunday, October 26, 2008

We will enjoy a very nice day today with lots of sun and highs in the lower 70s. Enjoy!

Temps begin to chill tomorrow, and I think as soon as Tuesday morning, some folks could see a light freeze. Certainly freezing temps look like a good bet across the Piedmont by Wednesday and/or Thursday morning.

I have been mentioning that I thought a freeze would occur this week for quite some time now. This morning, the MOS data is showing it. So, now that that is the case, you will see more and more people mentioning it now.

Everyone enjoy your Sunday....I will be back in the saddle at the big 14 tomorrow morning for the Triad market....new weather video should be posted by 6am.

Off to get our normal Sunday morning cinnamon rolls cooking and get the kids ready for church....

Read more...

Wow....

>> Friday, October 24, 2008


The split in the rain on the radar is amazing. Not making for a happy meteorologist. Hopefully, this will fill in some later this evening as more dynamics kick into play, but the rain has done a great job of avoiding much of the western Piedmont so far....

Read more...

Chilly rain moving in...

Read more...

Soaking rain on the way...

>> Thursday, October 23, 2008



Today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video is above. Give the video a watch....lots on our plate in the upcoming weather.

Clouds are on the increase today and tonight as our next system organizes off to our southwest. Highs today will be in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

Rain will develop into the Piedmont tomorrow, and it will be a soaking, chilly rain. Temps will likely be in the mid 50s at best as the rain arrives, and some spots could drop into the upper 40s as the rain spreads in.

The rain will continue tomorrow night and end Saturday. Before all is said and done, many spots will likely have seen over an inch of rain....and possibly two inches of rain.

Sunday and Monday look pretty quiet, but we will see a big blast of arctic air move in here Tuesday. Highs could struggle to make the lower 50s Tuesday and Wednesday in some Piedmont locations, and I fully expect the first widespread freeze of the season if not Wednesday morning, then certainly Thursday morning.

Read more...

Wednesday...

>> Wednesday, October 22, 2008



We had a great time up in the mountains yesterday. We made it to The Blowing Rock and then went down the Blue Ridge Parkway to Grandfather Mountain. There was still some very nice color to see, but we were up there right as the cold front was coming through. Unfortunately, that meant a lot of clouds, and the colors did not look as vibrant as they otherwise would have with full sunshine. It was also very breezy as the cold front came through....the summit of Grandfather Mountain was closed due to winds.

We really did have a great time. The kids love going up to the mountains, and so do I!

Around here, chilly air has pushed back in, and it is going to be here for a while. Tonight, good frost chances will again be with us with lows well down into the 30s.

Our next system will roll in Friday. This will be a classic cold air damming set up with a retreating high pressure leaving New England and a low pressure moving from the Gulf coast up to the eastern Carolinas. If this were December or January, we would be speculating about how much ice or snow we would be seeing. However, only rain this time around in the Piedmont. And I think we will see some very good rain amounts as well.

And, I still like the chances of a big push of cold air next week....probably arriving here around Tuesday. Looks like we will have the chance for a widespread freeze by Wednesday morning. Stay tuned....

Read more...

Frost on the Pumpkin...

>> Monday, October 20, 2008

Brrr.....very chilly out there this morning. As I am typing this, Charlotte is sitting at 33 degrees, and Reidsville has been below the freezing mark at times. Obviously, this is our coldest morning so far this season.

This cold airmass will modify a bit over the next 36 hours....highs today will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s with low to maybe mid 70s tomorrow. Lows tonight will mainly be in the 40s.

However, another cold front will drop through later tomorrow, and that will push another shot of colder air in here for Wednesday and much of the rest of the week. Lows will likely dip into the 30s again on Wednesday and Thursday morning in many spots, and some highs will again be in the 50s.

It is looking like a pretty significant storm system will roll through the eastern US Friday and Saturday. For us, that means some good rain chances and possibly some breezy conditions.

I am also getting the idea that a big push of cold air will try to invade the eastern US next week....so, some pretty chilly air might very well be in place for the days leading up to Halloween.

Some questions are coming in about my thoughts for the upcoming Winter....right now, it is a work in progress, but hopefully I will give you some ideas in the coming days.

I will be out of the office tomorrow.....taking an off day to take the family up to the North Carolina mountains and check out the Fall foliage. Weather should be nice....

I am still trying to get the software license nailed down to cut my videos....so, at least for another couple of days, still no Carolina Weather Video.

Read more...

Saturday evening....frost possible Monday morning....

>> Saturday, October 18, 2008

We did indeed see lots of clouds today....even some sprinkled in the Triad region....due to very cold temps aloft. The clouds will erode away this evening.

A chilly night will unfold tonight with lows dropping into the upper 30s to lower 40s. Full sunshine will return for our Sunday, but it will still be cool with highs only in the low to mid 60s.

It looks like things are setting up for our first widespread frost potential Sunday night into Monday morning....at this point, I am anticipating lows in the mid 30s. more info on this as Sunday unfolds.

Quiet weather will continue for much of the week with most highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s. Another shot of cooler air will settle in for Wednesday.

Read more...

Here comes the chill....

>> Friday, October 17, 2008

We will continue to see areas of rain today and this evening as a cold front slides south of the region. Temperatures will fall through the afternoon hours as a chillier airmass arrives.

The rain will end tonight, and dry weather resumes tomorrow. However, it will be a chilly, blustery day with highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s, lots of clouds, and a stiff north wind.....get some chili cooking!

Lows will drop down into the upper 30s to lower 40s Sunday and Monday morning, and I would not be surprised if some spots in the Piedmont saw the first frost of the season, likely on Monday morning.

Afternoon highs through next week will remain pretty comfortable....mainly in the 60s; 70s at most. Lows temps will remain in the 40s beginning Tuesday morning.

Read more...

Saturn Weather

>> Wednesday, October 15, 2008

Very interesting discoveries taking place on Saturn. Giant hurricane-like structures are being seen as never before, and they are much more powerful and work differently than ours here on Earth.

Check out the article here.....

Read more...

Tuesday...

>> Tuesday, October 14, 2008

Near record warmth will be the big weather story for the next few days with highs temps well up into the 80s. However, a sharp temperature turnaround will occur for the weekend. In fact, I think we have a chance at seeing the coolest high temperature recorded on October 18 in many spots Saturday....quite a flip-flop.

That will depend on a coastal area of low pressure that will likely develop and spread in clouds, some shower chances, and blustery northerly winds for Saturday. More details as the week unfolds.

In the tropics, the Caribbean is abuzz with activity, but nothing that looks to threaten the US anytime soon.

Read more...

Monday....

>> Monday, October 13, 2008

I had the chance over the weekend to head down to Mississippi State to watch my Bulldogs take on #13 Vanderbilt. Happy to report we won, and it was a good game to attend. The best part of the whole thing was that I took my oldest two daughters with me and got to spend some really quality time with them. We really had a blast, and I am so thankful to have had that opportunity.

We will enjoy pleasantly warm conditions today with highs near 80 and lots of sun.

A big upper air ridge will build over the eastern US through mid-week, and that will lead to near record highs around here Tuesday through Thursday. Highs all three days will likely reach the mid 80s.

A cold front will move through Friday and set us up for colder weather over the weekend.....probably 60s for highs and 40s for lows.

Tropics: Nana is way out in the eastern Atlantic and weakening. This system should not be a factor for the US. We are also watching an area in the Caribbean.

And a reminder....email in those fall foliage pics. From what I have seen, the fall foliage is simply spectacular up in the mountains this season. Email your photos to matthew.east@news14.com

Read more...

Better for the weekend...

>> Thursday, October 09, 2008



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video. This will be the last video until next week....I am on the road Friday and the weekend.

Damp, dreary weather is on tap for today as an upper air low gradually fills to our southwest. Occasional showers and drizzle are possible, and I can't rule out a storm in the southern Piedmont this afternoon.

However, drier air will push in here from the north for the weekend, making for a nice weekend forecast. Highs will be in the 70s with sunshine making its return. The weather should be fine for the Bank of America 500 out at Lowe's Motor Speedway Saturday evening.

Fall foliage is in full swing in the higher elevation of the North Carolina mountains, and around the Grandfather Mountain area, the peak of the season will likely be within the next 3-5 days. For lower elevations, the peak of the season is still a week or two away in most spots.

A reminder, send in those fall foliage pics..... matthew.east@news14.com

Enjoy the weekend!

Read more...

Low Confidence Forecast...

>> Wednesday, October 08, 2008



I had a great time speaking to the kids out at Tuckaseegee Elementary School yesterday. They were a great group....

Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video....check it out. Also, I love seeing fall foliage pictures, so if you would like, email me your Autumn pics at matthew.east@news14.com

Rain is falling in the Tennessee Valley as I am typing this this morning, and the Charlotte and Triad zones will see shower chances arriving this afternoon. This is a complicated storm system, and it is looking more and more likely that the best moisture will get shunted off to our south. However, with that said, I expect occasional showers tonight, tomorrow, and even into Friday.

Highs today will likely be in the mid to upper 60s due to the clouds with highs back in the 70s tomorrow and Friday.

Good news for our weekend forecast....for this forecast cycle, I have gone with a dry forecast both weekend days. That would be good news for the activities out at Lowe's Motor this weekend.

Read more...

Tuesday...

>> Tuesday, October 07, 2008



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video.

Cooler temps today with highs in the low to possibly mid 70s.

Still trying to parse out the specifics of our upcoming storm system. With this forecast package, I continue to go with the idea of rain chances settling in tomorrow night and lasting off and on through Friday....even some showers possible Saturday.

Our in-house modeling brings a nasty line of storms into the mountains during the pre-dawn hours Thursday....I am discounting that scenario for the time being. To me, this has the look of a stratiform rain event.

Today, I am speaking to a group of 3-5 graders out at Tuckaseegee Elementary School in Charlotte....should be a good time!

Read more...

Monday....

>> Monday, October 06, 2008



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video.

Good Monday to you! Warm, nice weather today with highs in the lower 80s. A back-door cold front slips through tonight, and highs tomorrow will be about 10 degrees or so cooler than what we will see today.

A nice cut-off low will develop over the Southeast to end the work week, and our rain chances are looking good from Wednesday night into Friday. Some nice rain totals are possible.

Reminder...check the links on the right for some fall foliage info....

Read more...

Friday!

>> Friday, October 03, 2008

Very chilly temps to start the day today. A Frost Advisory was hoisted to much of the North Carolina mountains, and in fact, a few of the more protected valleys briefly dipped below the freezing mark.

Excellent weather will continue all weekend with lots of sun, comfortable afternoons, and fairly chilly morning. The weather will also be excellent in the mountains if you want to head up there and check out some of the early season fall foliage.

See the video for a more detailed look at the next 10 days or so as well as fall foliage.

Read more...

Ahhh.....

>> Thursday, October 02, 2008

Fantastic Autumn weather has settled in. See the Carolina Weather Video below for a look at the early season fall foliage in the Carolinas as well as the normal look at our weather.

Lows were in the 40s in the Piedmont this morning while some higher elevations in the mountains dipped into the 30s. We will see brilliant sunshine all day with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Tonight, and probably tomorrow night, we will drop into the 40s again.

The forecast will remain dry through the next seven days with highs mainly in the 70s and lows after Saturday morning in the low to mid 50s.

Read more...

Fresh Airmass Poised to Move In...

>> Wednesday, October 01, 2008

Cooler air settling in today....down into the 40s tonight, and probably Friday and Saturday morning as well.

Highs today in the mid 70s....not far from 70 tomorrow, then mainly 70s through the weekend.

See the video below for more info....

Read more...

Tuesday Evening....

>> Tuesday, September 30, 2008

Several severe storms have indeed fired this afternoon across the state, and they will continue into this evening as a cold front sweeps in. Keep it tuned to News 14 Carolina on television for all of the latest information.

Read more...

Tuesday...

**No videos today**

A cold front is approaching our area, and I expect at least a few showers and storms out there this afternoon and this evening. In fact, an upper level disturbance out ahead of the cold front kicked off some rain in the southern Piedmont this morning.

While the chance if small, I can't rule out one or two strong to severe storms this afternoon or evening.

Cooler air flows in tomorrow, and we will get to enjoy fantastic Autumn weather for the rest of the week. Highs will only be around 70 Thursday and Friday with morning lows those days in the mid to upper 40s!

Read more...

Monday...

>> Monday, September 29, 2008



Above it today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video....

Warm temps will unfold today and tomorrow across the Carolinas with highs in the Piedmont in the lower 80s. A cold front is moving our way, and that front will likely kick off a few showers or storms later tomorrow and tomorrow night.

Behind the front, a nice push of cool, Autumn air will arrive for Wednesday through the weekend. Highs most days will be in the lower 70s with some lows dipping into the mid to upper 40s by the end of the work week. See the video above for details.

Subtropical Storm Laura has formed in the north Atlantic. Laura will get picked up by the big trough moving into the eastern US and turned northward over the north Atlantic...not threatening the US. Below is today's Tropical Weather Video.

Read more...

Friday...

>> Friday, September 26, 2008



**Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video. Scroll down in the post for the Tropical Weather Video for today.**

Our area of low pressure came ashore overnight not far from Myrtle Beach, and it continues to move WNW through South Carolina today. We will see occasional showers today and tonight. It is still pretty breezy today, but those winds will greatly subside tonight.

Our weekend will feature the chance of a couple of showers, especially during the afternoon hours, but all in all, not a bad weekend. Highs will be in the low to mid 70s Saturday and upper 70s to lower 80s Sunday.

our next cold front is still pegged to move through here Tuesday or Wednesday next week, and I still anticipate a nice push of chillier air behind it. Some of the modeling is backing off on the amount of colder air for our area, but I am not as of now. We will see.

Kyle will head for a landfall in New England of the Canadian Maritimes late this weekend or early Monday. It could be a hurricane upon landfall.

Here is today's edition of the Tropical Weather Video.



Everyone enjoy the weekend. For fans of SEC football, this weekend is a good one. Match-ups include Georgia-Alabama, Tennessee-Auburn, and my Mississippi State Bulldogs at LSU. Then the Panthers host the Falcons Sunday in a big NFC South divisional match-up....should be fun.

Read more...

Kyle has formed....but not along the coast.....

>> Thursday, September 25, 2008

Our low pressure along the coast has still yet to me declared an official tropical system by the NHC, in spite of it having an eye-like feature at times and warmer temperatures in the eye than in surrounding sections of the system. The NHC maintains that the system is not really tropical in nature and is still associated with a frontal boundary.

Like I have been mentioning, official declaration or not, this will look and feel like a strong tropical storm along the Carolina coast as it makes landfall.

Our disturbance north of Puerto Rico has been declared Tropical Storm Kyle...the official track takes it into the Canadian maritimes.

Read more...

Thursday...



**Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video....no Tropical Weather Video today....all is discussed in the Carolina video. Give it a watch.**

All eyes remain on the area of low pressure strengthening and approaching the Carolina coast today. The wind field with that low is very impressive, and we will continue to see windy conditions through the day with gusts possible exceeding 40mph at times today and tonight.

Along the coast, this will look and feel like a strong tropical storm with high winds, significantly increased surf, lots of rain, and beach erosion issues.

In terms of rain, we will see areas of rain settle in as today unfolds, and I anticipate periods of rain tonight and tomorrow. Highs today and tomorrow will only be in the low to mid 60s.

The weather improves for the weekend with only some lingering showers Saturday and a dry forecast Sunday.

Read more...

Quick hit...

>> Wednesday, September 24, 2008

Nasty low pressure wrapping up off the coast. The NHC has not classified this as a tropical or subtropical system as I am typing this, but make no mistake, this will be a nasty storm for the coast of North Carolina and the upper coast of South Carolina.

Like I mentioned in the videos this morning, this will look and feel like a significant tropical storm, whether it gets classified or not.

Read more...

  © Blogger templates Shiny by Ourblogtemplates.com 2008

Back to TOP