Sunshine with lower humidity!

>> Friday, August 20, 2010

After a dreary, rainy, and stormy day across the region yesterday, a much different type of day will unfold today. Sunshine will return to the area, and there will be a significant decrease in the humidity levels as the day unfolds. Highs will top out close to 90 for most.

Lows tonight will settles into the upper 60s, and then lower 90s are on tap tomorrow with a good amount of sun. Some showers and storms will be possible in South Carolina, but I expect most of North Carolina to be dry.

Our next front will get close enough Sunday to bring back in the chance of some showers and storms, and that chance will extend into Monday as well. Highs look to be in the mid to upper 80s both of those days.

After that, the weather looks pretty quiet for much of the rest of the week. Another cold front will pass through later in the week, but at this point, that front has the appearance of passing through in mainly dry fashion.


Still no active systems in the Atlantic Basin. The most likely area for development over the next few days is way out in the eastern Atlantic.


An unsettled Thursday...

>> Thursday, August 19, 2010

Here is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video....

Unsettled weather will remain with us today. We remain in a soupy airmass, and a series of disturbances continue to roll through the region. The result is waves of showers and storms. Flash flooding will remain a possibility, and a few severe storms are possible this afternoon and evening.

A much different type of day is on tap for tomorrow. Drier air will settle in from the north, resulting in less humidity, lots of sun, and a dry forecast. Highs tomorrow will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

Saturday looks dry outside of the mountains with highs in the low to even some mid 90s. Humidity levels should remain low. A few storms return to the region Sunday, although the chances will be highest the farther south you go.

Monday will feature a little better chance of some showers and storms, and after that, I will maintain at least some chance of a few showers or storms on a daily basis through Thursday.

Temperatures will not be bad with lots of mid to upper 80s for highs next work week.


Still eying a tropical wave that has emerged off of Africa. All modeling develops this into a tropical system over the next couple of days, but almost all modeling winds up re-curving the system north into the Atlantic before threatening the US. Way too soon for any confidence yet....we don't even have a track-able system yet.


Shower and storm chances...

>> Wednesday, August 18, 2010

A stalled frontal boundary remains draped through the region, and we remain in a warm, muggy airmass. Another disturbance will roll into the region later today, and the result will be more shower and storm chances this afternoon through tonight. Highs today will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s for most.

Tomorrow also looks unsettled with good shower and storm chances and highs in the 80s.

There remains the possibility of some locally heavy amounts of rain the next couple of days, and some localized flash flooding issues are possible.

Some drier air will slip in here for Friday, and thus Friday still looks primarily dry with highs close to 90 or so. An isolated storm is possible Saturday before we see better shower and storm chances again Sunday and Monday.

It still looks like a nice upper air low will carve itself out around the eastern seaboard early next work week. This will likely wind up keeping a lot of our highs in the 80s at that point.


Nothing brewing now, but all indications continue to be that we are headed into a more active period of tropical waves emerging off of Africa.


Increasing shower and storm chances...

>> Tuesday, August 17, 2010

Warm and humid conditions are continuing today around our region, and most highs outside of the mountains should reach the lower 90s this afternoon. Through a good chunk of the day, the best shower and storm chances will be in the mountains and foothills, but late this afternoon into this evening, the scattered showers and storms will likely slide into portions of the Piedmont.

Tomorrow looks unsettled with good shower and storm chances. An upper level disturbance will interact with this very muggy airmass, and the result should be a good coverage of showers and storms.

A few showers and storms will remain possible Thursday with mainly dry conditions Friday. Over the weekend, another disturbance will approach and bring the chance of some showers and storms.

There continue to be good indications of some troughiness near the eastern seaboard by early next week, and the result would likely be some cooler temps and some chance of some showers and storms.


The remnant low of Tropical Depression 5 was very close to getting re-classified as a tropical depression yesterday, but that opportunity has come to an end as the system is moving into Louisiana. More heavy rain is likely over the next several days in much of Louisiana and Mississippi into parts of Alabama.

I feel we are right on the cusp of tropical activity picking up. I think we will see the African wave train come to life later this week, and there are plenty of indications that we will begin to see organized tropical systems out in the Atlantic over the next couple of weeks.


Warm with scattered storms...

>> Monday, August 16, 2010

We did get somewhat of a break from the heat over the weekend with many places seeing some 80s for highs. Overall, this week will be warm, but I don't see any signs of really oppressive heat. Scattered storms will be a common theme as well.

Today, highs will return to the lower 90s for much of the region, and as we progress through the afternoon hours, we will see scattered showers and storms fire.

More of the same tomorrow with highs close to 90 and scattered storm chances.

Wednesday into Thursday might see an increase in the coverage of showers and storms, and then a decrease in that coverage is possible Friday into the weekend. Highs will likely be in the upper 80s Wednesday, then back into the lower 90s to end the week.


The remnant low of Tropical Depression 5 is back in the extreme northern Gulf of Mexico, and this has some chance of getting re-classified as a tropical system. It will head generally westward toward Louisiana.


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