>> Friday, December 25, 2009
God's richest blessings to you and yours on this Christmas!
Icy Christmas morning in the mountains and foothills....here is a shot up in Boone on Highway 321....similar scenes are unfolding all over the higher terrain this morning....
>> Thursday, December 24, 2009
A major storm system continues to cause anything from blizzard conditions in the Plains to the western Great Lakes to tornadic activity in the southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley.
Around the Carolinas, a quiet Christmas Eve is unfolding with highs in the mid to upper 40s for most with some increasing clouds.
Rain will spread into the region later tonight, and in the mountains, foothills, and extreme northwest Piedmont, temperatures will drop to at or below freezing, meaning freezing rain will occur. This could be a significant ice event for the mountains and the northern foothills, but I think for much of the northwest Piedmont, the temperature should relatively quickly warm above freezing, ending the icing potential there. However, a different story in the foothills and mountains, and some significant icing is possible by Christmas morning.
Christmas Day will feature rain around the region, and some storms are even possible from the southern Piedmont through the coastal plain.
The weekend will be quiet and cool, and then another shot of cold air arrives by later Sunday and Monday.
Next week still looks interesting. I still think there is a potential wintry-weather making system on the table late Wednesday or Thursday, and the pattern remains very active through the first week to ten days of January.
I wish you and yours the warmest and merriest of Christmases. God bless.....
>> Wednesday, December 23, 2009
Most of us will see a chilly, rainy Christmas. However, my thoughts are unchanged about the possibility of a period of freezing rain later Thursday night into early Christmas morning over the northwest Piedmont, foothills, and mountains. There is a good chance that a freezing rain advisory will be required for that part of our region, and we will get a better handle on it as we go through the next 24 hours.
In most spots, the freezing rain shouldn't last too long before temps warm above freezing and we see a chilly rain Christmas day. In the eastern part of the region, some thunderstorms are even possible.
The rest of the Christmas weekend looks pretty quiet. We might see a few flurries Sunday night or Monday as the upper level dynamics pull through, but it doesn't look like a big deal.
I still think the system that will roll through around a week from now has some wintry possibilities around the region, and the pattern still looks very interesting as we head into early January.
>> Tuesday, December 22, 2009
Today will again feature lots of sunshine with highs in the 40s. Melting will continue today in the areas with snow left on the ground, and again tonight, some re-freezing will occur in those areas with lows in the mid to upper 20s.
Clouds will increase tomorrow ahead of our next system. That storm system will be a major, disruptive system in a lot of places tomorrow through Christmas Day. Blizzard conditions will occur from the Plains into the Great Lakes, and some strong storms are possible in the Lower Mississippi Valley.
Around our area, we will see precip move in by Thursday night and continue through a good bit of Christmas Day. We will have a cold air damming scenario set itself up later Thursday, and the airmass could very well be cold enough for a period of freezing rain early Christmas morning, mainly in the northwest Piedmont and Foothills. Typically, models underestimate the cold air with cold air damming scenarios, and there is even more potential for that this time around due to the extensive snow pack over the eastern US. At the moment, I don't think it is a huge problem, but we will keep an eye on it.
The rest of Christmas weekend looks cool and quiet, but the pattern remains loaded with potential next week. The first system of interest will roll through Tuesday into Wednesday next week....
Here is a nice shot this morning from Beech Mountain.
>> Monday, December 21, 2009
The weather will be cool and quiet for the next few days before our next system rolls in Christmas Eve. Some cold air damming will be in place as the system arrives, and there is some chance of a brief period of freezing rain later Thursday into Thursday night...mainly in the northwest Piedmont. However, due to the overall pattern, it looks like the wedge will get scoured out, so at this point, I don't think any major wnitry precip is in the offing around here. But it is early, and we will watch it.
The rain could linger through much of Christmas day, and then the rest of the weekend looks generally chilly and quiet.
The pattern looks loaded with potential through the end of December into early January. In today's video, I take a look at how my forecast verified for the previous winter storm, look at the details of this week, and show you my thoughts as we head into the new year....