Nice stuff....

As mentioned, I really do love this type of weather every once in a while. Today I am really enjoying it.

Temperatures are in the mid 60s basically everywhere in our area right now. Not bad for August 12!

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Nice, rainy morning...

I don't know about you, but there really is something I enjoy about rainy mornings like this. Very nice to just stay in comfortable clothes, drink an extra cup of coffee, and listen to the rain hit the windows and roof.

Temperatures are mainly in the upper 60s right now, and they will have a hard time making much upward progress today. I still think most spots will struggle to even see mid 70s for highs.

The rain will be with us this morning, but should taper off somewhat through the afternoon. For the Panthers-Bills preseason game this evening at Bank of America Stadium, there will see be the chance for a little lingering rain, but the rain should be over by sometime this evening. So, might want to bring the poncho just in case, and check with News 14 Carolina for a radar update before you head to the game. Look for game-time temperatures to be somewhere around the upper 60s.

Have a great Saturday. I will be in my normal evening shift today and on the air at 5:01!

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Sure sign the cold weather season is not too far away....

Check this out..

http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBTV/0608110700.wwus71.html

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All quiet so far...

Well, we had lots of clouds this morning, and that got our heating off to a slow start today. However, at 2pm most spots were beginning to approach the mid 80s.

Cold front is progressing through northern North Carolina as I am typing this. I think the chances for severe weather are diminishing this afternoon, but still, a couple of stronger storms are possible as the actual front moves through later.

The wedge will set up later tonight through tomorrow. The models are struggling a bit trying to get a handle on how exactly the wedge will set up and where precipitation will fall tomorrow. The NAM paints a very wet scenario for most of our area tomorrow, while the GFS keeps most of the rain to our south. Either solution could be correct, but I am still leaning toward a damp day tomorrow with period of rain, especially in the morning.

As for temps, the midday model runs have come in warmer with mainly mid to upper 70s tomorrow. The NGM even has a high in CLT tomorrow of 80. However, I will stay the course here and stick with my going forecast of 73 for tomorrow.

The weather Sunday and Monday looks great with good amounts of sun, highs in the 80s, and very comfortable humidity values. Enjoy! I can get into this kind of mid-August weather!

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Interesting Pattern Ahead

First of all, we will see scattered storms again today, and like yesterday, a couple of the storms could be strong to severe. Microbursts will be the primary severe weather threat.

A strong cold front will push through tomorrow, and along with it will come numerous showers and storms. However, the pattern behind it is something we see much more often during the cold weather months. Take a look at this...this is the surface chart off of the 12z run of the NAM model....

That is a well-defined wedge, or cold air damming, situation over our area. If this solution is correct (and it is supported by the European model), look for a damp, rainy, and cool day Saturday. I have a high of 76 going in the official forecast, but if this solution winds up being correct, that might be too high. In fact, the NAM MOS data shows a high of 72 Saturday in Charlotte, and the actual graphical data indicates much of the area remaining in the 60s for most of the day!

The 12z GFS has just rolled in, and it is now on board with a more pronounced damming situation Saturday. The new 12z GFS MOS now has a high in CLT Saturday of 76. So, I think we can move forward with a good deal of confidence in highs likely being in the mid 70s at best Saturday.

Sunday and Monday look like great days with highs in the 80s and low humidity values. I think a few backyard thermometers could dip into the upper 50s by Monday morning! A nice taste of fall!

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Critters Staying Dry

I guess everyone has to find a way to stay out of the water one way or another...This photo from yesterday was sent in from Diane.....

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Meck Cty rain...

FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 344 PM EDT WED AUG 9 2006 NCC119-092145- 344 PM EDT WED AUG 9 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IN...

SOUTHEASTERN MECKLENBURG COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA * UNTIL 545 PM EDT


* AT 344 PM EDT...THUNDERSTORMS...WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...HAVE BEEN OCCURRING OVER MCALPINE AND FOUR MILE CREEK AREAS. RAIN GAUGES IN THESE AREAS HAVE REPORTED RAINFALL OVER TWO INCHES IN THE PAST HOUR. RADAR ESTIMATES HAVE INDICATED UP TO THREE INCHES. * RISES WILL OCCUR ON MCALPINE...IRVINS AND FOUR MILE CREEKS...AND THEIR TRIBUTARIES. SIGNIFICANT PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL ALSO OCCUR. DURING HEAVY RAIN EVENTS...SEVERE URBAN FLOODING CAN RAPIDLY DEVELOP IN AREAS SUCH AS UNDERPASSES...AND LOW AREAS WHERE WATER TENDS TO COLLECT. DO NOT LET YOUR CHILDREN PLAY NEAR SMALL STREAMS OR DRAINAGE DITCHES AND STORM SEWERS DURING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN.

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Tropical Update...

From the NHC....

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THETROPICAL WAVE NEAR THE LESSER ANTILLES DOES NOT HAVE A CLOSEDSURFACE CIRCULATION. HOWEVER...THE POTENTIAL STILL EXISTS FOR THISSYSTEM TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCEARE STILL POSSIBLE AS THE WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLESTODAY AND TONIGHT.

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Hump Day...

It is not as hot today out there. We have a northeasterly flow in place, and that is leading to a pretty good amount of cloud cover early this afternoon. I think most highs will be in the upper 80s. Also, we will likely see a few scattered showers and storms later this afternoon.

A nice Canadian cold front will shift through here by Saturday, and it looks like we will get a really nice break from heat and humidity for a couple of days. The GFS MOS high for Saturday off of the 0z run for CLT is 79...I went 82 in my forecast package today. If all goes the way it appears right now, we will see highs generally in the low to mid 80s and much lower humidity values Saturday and Sunday...I would be happy to see that!

Tropics...
The tropical wave that we have been discussing for days now has become better organized over the last 24 hours. In fact, the NHC is sending a recon plane in there this afternoon to see if a tropical depression or storm has formed. I will post an update this afternoon based on what the plane found....

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Good Tuesday Morning!

Stirring around the house this morning. The kids are in a rut of not sleeping very well, so it takes my wife and I a little time to get with it in the mornings. I think we emerge out of zombie-state by about now each morning. Breakfast has been eaten, and we are about to head out to swim lessons for our oldest.

In the weather department, a cold front will drop in here today, and due to that, I think we will see a pretty good amount of scattered showers and storms this afternoon and early evening. Some of the storms have a decent chance of being strong to severe, so like yesterday, pay attention to the weather and News 14 Carolina.

By the way, good job to Tara yesterday with all of the storm coverage. I can only imagine how tired she was after doing all of those live hits yesterday being this far along in pregnancy. I know how draining all of those live hits can be, and I am only carrying one person around!

Anyway, have a good day. I will be back in my on-air shift at 11:01 tomorrow morning.....

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Active Storms...

I had a sizeable post written up yesterday, but due to a problem with the blogspot.com server, it never made it online. So, my apologies for the lack of posts this weekend.

Some active storms out there right now. Most of the activity so far has been over the eastern half of the viewing area, but additional scattered storms are likely through early evening. Some large hail and gusty winds are certainly possible. 3/4" hail has been reported already 1 mile north of Mt. Pleasant in Cabarrus County. Stay with News 14 Carolina for the latest this afternoon....Tara is holding down the afternoon and evening on-air shift today.

In the tropics, we are on the verge of havine our next tropical system out in the Atlantic. The tropical wave roughly midway between Africa and the Caribbean has continued to organize, and it has some deep convection close to the apparent circulation center. Pretty strong chance this will become a classified tropical system within the next 24-48 hours.

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Busy Weekend...

Active storms fired around Mecklenburg county Saturday evening, and I wound up doing a pretty healthy amount of severe weather coverage last evening.

As I finished my live clock at 7pm, I made the call to continue doing all of the weather hits live through the 7:00pm hour due to some firing storms. An intense storm developed into Mecklenburg county around 7:20-7:30, and I made the decision to go with wall-to-wall coverage for a while beginning at 7:40pm. The National Weather Service, not us, issues Severe Thunderstorm Warnings, and there was still not a warning in effect for the area. However, I felt the storm was threatening enough to go with wall-to-wall coverage. About 5 minutes into the coverage, the NWS did issue a severe thunderstorm warning, and I was wall-to-wall until 8:45pm or so. I continued with live hits until 10pm and the storms diminished.

Today, there are some widely scattered showers and storms out there as of 3:30pm. We will continue to see some scattered storms through early evening, then things should die out. Any storms that do develop will barely move, so additional flash flooding problems are possible.

Let's hope for a little quieter evening today, shall we?

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