>> Saturday, February 16, 2013
Light precip is falling in parts of the Carolinas as of this typing, at 7:30am. Some of this is light rain, but there is some light snow involved as well.
This band should slowly strengthen and pivot eastward.
As the airmass continues to cool, this band should put down some accumulating snow in some areas as it heads east. I think the general placements of the Winter Weather Advisories from the Raleigh NWS are pretty good.
For the Upstate and western half of the Charlotte metro....I think the chances of getting any snow on the ground depend on the development of another area of snow later today...induced as a stronger shot of upward vertical motion moves through. You can see that development being picked up on by the RGEM and RPM model below.
Assuming that area develops later today, there could be some brief bursts of heavier snow with it. That is the best chance the Upstate and I-85 corridor from CLT west has to get some snow on the ground.
This is very low-confidence....and I wouldn't be better the farm on getting the ground white. But some folks will as the day unfolds.