Slow warming trend continues, but changes next week

>> Thursday, October 19, 2017

After another chilly start to our day for Thursday, highs will warm into the low and mid 70s for much of the piedmont this afternoon. Mountain highs will likely be in the upper 60s.....all under a sunny sky.

The slow warming trend will continue through Friday and into the weekend with a dry forecast holding on through the weekend as well. 

Our next storm system will then arrive early in the week. There remains some timing differences among the various computer models, but for the time being, I will highlight good chance for some rain and embedded storms Monday into early Tuesday. 

Following that system, I still expect a shot of the coldest air thus far this season to arrive Wednesday through Friday next week. 

Read more...

Much cooler air has arrived

>> Tuesday, October 17, 2017

After a lot of well above average temperature through October to this point, much cooler autumn air has arrived. This morning, many mountain spots made it down into the 30s, and some locations were in the 30s in the foothills and piedmont. 
In spite of full sun, highs today will be in the 50s in the mountains and 60s in the piedmont, and Wednesday's highs will be quite similar. 
Lows Wednesday morning will be a little colder in most spots than what occurred Tuesday morning. Widespread frost is possible in the mountains, and some patchy areas of frost are possible in the foothills and piedmont. 
A slow warming trend will occur late in the work week and into the weekend, and our next chance of rain and storms arrives Monday. An even colder shot of air will then likely arrive by the middle of next week.

Read more...

Cooler weather pattern arriving

>> Thursday, October 12, 2017

After multiple days of mid summer-like heat and humidity, a cooler weather pattern is beginning to unfold in the region. Highs Thursday will be below what we have seen on recent days, and Friday's highs will be even cooler. 

Look for plenty of clouds at times Thursday and Friday, and some showers will be a possibility at times as well.

The weekend looks great with warm afternoons and good intervals of sunshine. The peak of the fall foliage season is now occurring in the elevations above about 3000' up in the mountains, so this weekend is a great time to head up that way and enjoy the fall colors. 

Finally, a push of true cool, dry, more typical October air will arrive next week. Piedmont lows will be well down into the 40s by Monday night, and mountain areas will likely be in the 30s. Afternoons most days next week will be sunny and pleasant. 

Read more...

One more day of summer-like warmth and humidity

>> Wednesday, October 11, 2017

Today's video details the chances ahead:

Read more...

Soupy air remains in place

>> Tuesday, October 10, 2017


An airmass more typical of summer remains in place across the Carolinas Tuesday. Foothill and piedmont highs will surge into the 80s, and conditions will remain very humid. Scattered showers and storms will remain a possibility as well. 

Again Wednesday, warm and muggy conditions will be in place with scattered showers and storms still a possibility.

High pressure will build down from the Northeast Thursday, so highs will be cooler to wrap up the work week. 

The weekend looks warm and dry. Down the road, an airmass more typical of October looks to finally arrive by around next Tuesday. 

Read more...

Saturday Nate Update

>> Saturday, October 07, 2017

Hurricane Nate is heading for a Saturday evening landfall along the central Gulf coast. The greatest issues with storm surge and wind will be along the Mississippi and Alabama Gulf coasts and to a somewhat lesser extent southeastern Louisiana and western-most Florida Panhandle. 

For the Carolinas, scattered showers will be with us Saturday, and a couple of rumbles of thunder are also possible. However, the more significant rains from this system will hold off until later tonight into Sunday.

Chances for areas of rain and storms will remain high Sunday and into Monday as well. It will not be a constant rain, but at any juncture, some showers or storms will be a possibility.

Soupy tropical air will remain in place through mid-week, so my forecast will continue to highlight scattered showers and storms.

Rainfall amounts over the next few days will be greatest in the mountains. In the mountains and the immediately adjacent foothills, 3-6" of rain are possible through mid-week. Piedmont rain totals will likely be in the 1-2" range with locally higher amounts. 

Read more...

Big changes are on the way this weekend

>> Friday, October 06, 2017

After some excellent Autumn weather again unfolds around the region Friday, big weather changes take place this weekend.

Tropical Storm Nate, now in the western Caribbean Sea, will send tropical moisture into the southeastern US. This moisture will interact with an approaching frontal system and provide us with increasing opportunities for rain as the weekend rolls along. 

Saturday will feature some scattered showers, mainly during the afternoon. But the majority of the rain will occur Sunday into Monday.

Exact rain amounts remain questionable, but in general, I think many in the region could receive 1-2" when all is said and done. The mountains could easily exceed 3" when all is totaled.

Considering most of us haven't had measurable rain since the second week of September, this is welcome news.

Read more...

Watching the tropics

>> Thursday, October 05, 2017

TD 16 could become Nate soon, and we have a pattern change ahead for the Carolinas:

Read more...

More of the same for now, but changes are coming

>> Wednesday, October 04, 2017



More of the same is on tap weather-wise here in the Carolinas over the next few days. And that is not a bad thing..... we have enjoyed spectacular October weather over the last few days. 

Our forecast remains dry through Friday with cool nights and warm sunny afternoons. In fact, foothill and piedmont spots will likely top out in the 80s for highs Thursday and Friday. 

Over the weekend, rain chances will be on the increase. A tropical low pressure area will continue to try to develop in the western Caribbean Sea, and that system should lift into the Gulf of Mexico this weekend. The eventual track that system takes will determine our weather specifics, but the general idea is for us to have good rain chances Sunday and Monday here in the Carolinas. 

Stay tuned to Spectrum News... as always, we will have complete tropical updates for you at :21 and :51 past every hour. 

Read more...

Great weather marches on

>> Tuesday, October 03, 2017

But some rain chances increase down the road. Today's video:

Read more...

Great weather continues

>> Monday, October 02, 2017



We finally had some beautiful, more typical fall weather settle in over the weekend with comfortable afternoons and cool nights. The weather pattern will remain essentially the same over the next several days with only a subtle warming trend each day.

Most piedmont highs will remain in the 70s through mid-week with lows in the 40s and 50s. Mountain areas will have highs in the 60s to 70s. 

Rain chances will remain scarce through the work week with only slowly increasing rain chances by Sunday and next Monday.

Read more...

Much cooler air is here

>> Friday, September 29, 2017

Today's video:

Read more...

Big temperature change on the way

>> Thursday, September 28, 2017



...A big temperature change is on the way...

Again Wednesday, many locations in the region approached or even tied record highs for the day. One final really warm day is unfolding for our Thursday before some big-time weather changes occur. 

After piedmont highs again today make a run to near 90, a cold front will slide through over the next 24 hours. An isolated shower could accompany the front ins some areas, but the bigger story is the temperature change that is on the way.

Foothill and piedmont highs Friday and the weekend will only be in the 70s with mountain highs in the 60s. Morning lows will drop well down into the 50s for the foothills and piedmont, and some of the normally cooler locations will likely have 40s, especially Sunday morning. A few cooler mountains spots could have 30s Sunday morning! 

The nice Autumn weather looks to continue to much of next week as well. 

Read more...

Maria impacting the Outer Banks

>> Tuesday, September 26, 2017

Warmth for a few more days, then big changes.

Today's video:

Read more...

Warmth continues... Maria to brush east of the Outer Banks...

>> Monday, September 25, 2017

Today's video:

Read more...

Warmth continues for a while

>> Friday, September 22, 2017

Plus, a detailed look at Maria in today's video:

Read more...

Warm pattern continues for the Carolinas

>> Thursday, September 21, 2017

Also, a full update on Maria and Jose.

Today's video:

Read more...

Maria battering Puerto Rico.... warmth continues in the Carolinas

>> Wednesday, September 20, 2017

Today's video:

Read more...

Full update on Jose and Maria

>> Tuesday, September 19, 2017

Today's video:

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Warm and dry locally.... Jose and Maria in the tropics

>> Monday, September 18, 2017

All the details in today's video:

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A few showers today, then warm and dry

>> Thursday, September 14, 2017

Today's video has all of the details:

Read more...

Warmer weather arriving

>> Wednesday, September 13, 2017

Today's video has all of the details:

Read more...

Irma's fading away... nice weather ahead...

>> Tuesday, September 12, 2017

Today's video has it all covered:



Read more...

Irma impacting the Southeast

>> Monday, September 11, 2017

Today's video covers it all:

Read more...

Latest in Irma

>> Friday, September 08, 2017

Today's video:

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Mid-morning Irma Facebook Live

>> Thursday, September 07, 2017

Read more...

All eyes on Irma

Today's video has all the details and my thoughts:

Read more...

All of the latest on Irma

>> Wednesday, September 06, 2017

All of my thoughts in today's video:

Read more...

All eyes on Irma

>> Tuesday, September 05, 2017

Today's video:

Read more...

Severe weather potential for our Friday

>> Friday, September 01, 2017

The rest of the holiday weekend then looks great. Also, a look a powerful Hurricane Irma.

Today's video:

Read more...

Unsettled weather today and tomorrow

>> Thursday, August 31, 2017

Today's video has all of the details:

Read more...

Unsettled weather for Thursday and Friday

>> Wednesday, August 30, 2017

Harvey's remnants to play a part in our weather tomorrow and Friday.

Today's video:

Read more...

Tropical rain and wind near the Carolina coast

>> Tuesday, August 29, 2017

Harvey continues to cause huge problems in TX and LA.

Today's video:

Read more...

Cooler and drier air is here

>> Friday, August 25, 2017

Powerful Harvey will make landfall in Texas tonight.

Full details in today's video:

Read more...

Cooler and drier air settling in

>> Thursday, August 24, 2017

Plus, a strengthening Harvey set to dump copious amounts of rain along portions of the Gulf coast.

Today's video:

Read more...

Scattered storms today

>> Wednesday, August 23, 2017

Cooler and drier air arrives by tomorrow. Also, Harvey is set to crank again in the Gulf of Mexico.

Today's video:

Read more...

Hot and humid, but changes on the way

>> Tuesday, August 22, 2017

Plus, a full look at the tropics:

Read more...

Unsettled weather pattern set to return

>> Thursday, August 10, 2017

Details in today's video:

Read more...

Pretty nice Wednesday weather

>> Wednesday, August 09, 2017

A look at some nice weather today, Panthers gameday weather, Franklin in the southern Gulf, and another unsettled period of weather ahead:

Read more...

Cooler temps for a couple of days.... watching the tropics...

>> Tuesday, August 08, 2017

Today's video:

Read more...

Unsettled Monday... Franklin in the tropics....

>> Monday, August 07, 2017

Here's today's video:

Read more...

Changeable weekend weather

>> Friday, August 04, 2017

Plus, the tropics are starting to heat up.

Today's video:

Read more...

Warm and humid

>> Thursday, August 03, 2017

Better shower and storm chances lie ahead.

Today's video:

Read more...

Better shower and storm chances return for the weekend

>> Wednesday, August 02, 2017

Muggier air is back in place, and with time, better shower and storms chances return.

Today's video:

Read more...

Getting a little warmer and muggier

>> Tuesday, August 01, 2017

Details in today's video:

Read more...

Still great today

>> Monday, July 31, 2017

But warmer and muggier air will return.

Today's video:

Read more...

Big weather changes for the weekend

>> Friday, July 28, 2017

Today's video contains all of the details:

<

Read more...

Unsettled finish to the work week, then a great weekend

>> Thursday, July 27, 2017

Details in today's video:

Read more...

Sharp cold front arrives Friday

>> Wednesday, July 26, 2017

Today's video:

Read more...

Some cooler temperatures on the way

>> Tuesday, July 25, 2017

Today's video:

Read more...

Hotter temperatures and fewer storms

>> Wednesday, July 19, 2017

Today's video:

Read more...

Heat and humidity will crank later in the week

>> Monday, July 10, 2017

Today's video has all of the details:

Read more...

More of the same today, but changes over the weekend

>> Friday, July 07, 2017

Heat then returns next week. Plus, an update on weak TD 4, all in today's video:

Read more...

Scattered storms, but changes this weekend

>> Thursday, July 06, 2017

Also the update on TD 4.

Today's video:

Read more...

Heat, humidity, scattered storms

>> Wednesday, July 05, 2017

But some changes over the weekend. Plus, an update of the tropics in today's video:

Read more...

Humid with scattered storms

>> Tuesday, July 04, 2017

Also, keeping a watch on the tropics.

Today's video:

Read more...

Heat, humidity, scattered storms

>> Monday, July 03, 2017

Today's video as the Fourth of July weekend continues:

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Muggy air is back

>> Friday, June 30, 2017

High humidity and scattered storms are back with us as we enter the holiday weekend.

Today's video has all of the details:

Read more...

Humidity and storms set to return

>> Thursday, June 29, 2017

All of the details in today's video:

Read more...

Beautiful Wednesday weather...

>> Wednesday, June 28, 2017

But heat, humidity, and storm chances are set to return.

Today's video:

Read more...

Cindy made landfall early this morning

>> Thursday, June 22, 2017

Soupy, tropical air in the Carolinas:

Read more...

Full update on Cindy

>> Wednesday, June 21, 2017

And any potential impact for the Carolinas:

Read more...

Watching the tropics....

>> Tuesday, June 20, 2017

Lots covered in today's video:

Read more...

Soupy, scattered storms continue

>> Friday, June 16, 2017

Plus, some drier air next week and a look at the tropics in today's video:

Read more...

Hot, humid, scattered storms..... again

>> Thursday, June 15, 2017

Rinse and repeat through the weekend, although the heat backs down a touch.

Today's video:

Read more...

Hot and humid with scattered storms

>> Wednesday, June 14, 2017

All of the details in today's video:

Read more...

Warm, soupy, scattered storms

>> Tuesday, June 13, 2017

Better storm chances returning to the area.

Today's video:

Read more...

Quite warm and fairly muggy

>> Monday, June 12, 2017

Better storm chances slowly work in this week.

Today's video:

Read more...

Big weekend warm-up

>> Friday, June 09, 2017

But nice weather for any outdoor plans you have.

Here's today's video:

Read more...

Cooler than average today, but a big warm-up coming

>> Thursday, June 08, 2017

Today's video has all of the details:

Read more...

Cooler temperatures in place

>> Wednesday, June 07, 2017

But a big warm-up ahead.

Today's video:

Read more...

Drier air working in

>> Tuesday, June 06, 2017

Big decrease in the showers and storms today.

Today's video:

Read more...

Unsettled again today

>> Monday, June 05, 2017

But quieter, cooler weather ahead.

Today's video:

Read more...

Drier air settling in

>> Thursday, June 01, 2017

Plus, I've made some changes to the weekend forecast.

Today's video:

Read more...

Scattered storms this afternoon

>> Wednesday, May 31, 2017

Plus much drier air arrives by tomorrow, then unsettled again later in the weekend.

Today's video:

Read more...

Quieter weather today

>> Tuesday, May 30, 2017

And some really nice weather a little bit down the road.

Today's video:

Read more...

Beautiful Friday... scattered storms this weekend

>> Friday, May 26, 2017

All of the holiday weekend weather in today's video:

Read more...

Scattered showers and storms today

>> Thursday, May 25, 2017

Some hail possible with some of the activity today. Today's video has all of the details on that and your holiday weekend weather:

Read more...

Severe weather possible today

>> Wednesday, May 24, 2017

All of the details in today's video:

Read more...

Soggy weather continues

>> Tuesday, May 23, 2017

All of the details in today's video:

Read more...

Unsettled weather for a few days

>> Monday, May 22, 2017

Lots of rain and storm chances ahead. All of the details in today's video:

Read more...

Hot today... a few storms over the weekend

>> Wednesday, May 17, 2017

Today's video has all of the details:

Read more...

Warmth has taken hold

>> Tuesday, May 16, 2017

Summer preview continues this week:

Read more...

Warmth builds

>> Monday, May 15, 2017

A very warm and primarily dry week ahead.

Today's video:

Read more...

Cool and dreary today... brighter times return over the weekend

>> Friday, May 12, 2017

Today's video has all of the details:

Read more...

Warm today, unsettled later tomorrow

>> Thursday, May 11, 2017

Complex storm system is set to arrive. Details in today's video:

Read more...

Warm today... unsettled finish to the work week ahead

>> Wednesday, May 10, 2017

Today's video with all of the details:

Read more...

Great today... changes by tomorrow

>> Monday, May 08, 2017

All of the week and upcoming weekend's weather details in today's video:

Read more...

System rolls through tonight

>> Thursday, May 04, 2017

Much cooler air takes over starting tomorrow.

All of the details in today's video:

Read more...

Great Wednesday weather.... next system arrives late tomorrow

>> Wednesday, May 03, 2017

Cooler weather then with us for Friday into early next week.

Today's video:

Read more...

Beautiful weather!

>> Tuesday, May 02, 2017

Great weather is in place for today and tomorrow, then our next system arrives Thursday followed by much cooler air for the weekend.

Today's video has all of the details:

Read more...

Round of showers and storms this afternoon

>> Monday, May 01, 2017

Some storms could be severe later this afternoon into early this evening.

Today's video has all of the details on the changeable weather this week and weekend.

Read more...

Summer-like weather as we head into the weekend

>> Friday, April 28, 2017

Today's video has all of your weekend weather details plus a look at next week:

Read more...

Drying out and warming up

>> Wednesday, April 26, 2017

Plus, a look toward the upcoming weekend in today's video:

Read more...

Rain tapering off

>> Tuesday, April 25, 2017

Plus a look at a warm and muggy weekend ahead.

Today's video:

Read more...

Flooding concerns

>> Monday, April 24, 2017

Lots of rain today and tonight. Today's video has all of the details:

Read more...

Complex weekend forecast

>> Friday, April 21, 2017

Details in today's video:

Read more...

Back to warmth today...

>> Thursday, April 20, 2017

But the weekend forecast remains very complex.

All of the details in today's video:

Read more...

Some rain today... challenging weekend forecast

>> Wednesday, April 19, 2017

All of the details covered in today's weather video:

Read more...

Cooler with some showers

>> Tuesday, April 18, 2017

today and tomorrow.... then warmer and rather unsettled to end the work week and head through the upcoming weekend.

Today's video:

Read more...

Scattered storms this afternoon

>> Monday, April 17, 2017

Then cooler temps tomorrow and Wednesday.

Today's video:

Read more...

Warm Easter weekend

>> Friday, April 14, 2017

Complete look at our Easter weekend weather setup in today's video:

Read more...

Warm and rather docile weather

>> Thursday, April 13, 2017

A look at our weather as we head into Easter weekend and a couple of rain chances next week.

Today's video:

Read more...

Warm today with a few isolated showers and storms

>> Wednesday, April 12, 2017

That, plus a look ahead to your Easter weekend forecast and a peek toward next week in today's video:

Read more...

Warm and sunny today...weak cold front moves in tomorrow

>> Tuesday, April 11, 2017

All of our upcoming weather details in today's video:

Read more...

Nice weather continues...

>> Monday, April 10, 2017

Much quieter week on tap this week compared to last.

Today's video:

Read more...

Cool and breezy Friday; beautiful weekend ahead

>> Friday, April 07, 2017

Some locations could have a light freeze tonight, but then a gorgeous weekend will unfold.

All of our upcoming weather details in today's video:

Read more...

Severe weather potential

>> Wednesday, April 05, 2017

A dynamic storm system is developing and moving through the Southeast. A widespread outbreak of severe weather is likely to impact many in the Southeast and possibly the Carolinas.

See today's video for all of the details:

Read more...

Warm and quiet today... severe weather threat later tomorrow and tomorrow night

>> Tuesday, April 04, 2017

See today's video for all of the details:

Read more...

Round of storms later today

>> Monday, April 03, 2017

All of the details on the storms and their associated severe weather threat in today's video:

Read more...

Great weekend ahead

>> Friday, March 31, 2017

Plus, a quick-hitting weather pattern continues next week.

Today's video:

Read more...

Unsettled weather as a storm system arrives

>> Thursday, March 30, 2017

All of the details in today's video:

Read more...

Quiet today; system arrives late tomorrow and exits late Friday

>> Wednesday, March 29, 2017

All the details in today's video:

Read more...

Active storm track in place

>> Tuesday, March 28, 2017

Today's video:

Read more...

Warm and humid with some showers & storm chances

>> Monday, March 27, 2017

Lots to cover in today's edition of the video:

Read more...

Warmer air working in

>> Friday, March 24, 2017

Several storm systems move through over the next 7-8 days as well. Details in today's video:

Read more...

Cool today, but warmer air is coming

>> Thursday, March 23, 2017

A look at warmer temperatures ahead in addition to a couple of storm systems heading our way in today's video:

Read more...

Cooler and drier air has arrived

>> Wednesday, March 22, 2017

Also, a recap of yesterday's big storms in the region and a look ahead to the weekend and next week.

Read more...

Some storm chances today and this evening

>> Tuesday, March 21, 2017

Then briefly much cooler.

All the details in today's video:

Read more...

Showers chances tonight into Saturday morning

>> Friday, March 17, 2017

Details on that, milder temperatures, and next week's weather in today's video:

Read more...

Slowly crawling out of the deep freeze

>> Thursday, March 16, 2017

Details on what's ahead in today's video:

Read more...

Frigid air in place

>> Wednesday, March 15, 2017

Today's video:

Read more...

Arctic air plunging in

>> Tuesday, March 14, 2017

Blizzard pounds the Northeast.

Today's video:

Read more...

Next system arrives this afternoon

>> Monday, March 13, 2017

That system will turn into an incredible snowstorm for the mid-Atlantic and Northeast, and some wintry precip will fall in North Carolina.

We also have some extremely cold air (for mid-March) heading our way later this week.

All of the details in today's video:

Read more...

Colder air and snow chances

>> Friday, March 10, 2017

Lots and lots to talk about in today's video:

Read more...

Beautiful today... colder with some snow chances this weekend

>> Thursday, March 09, 2017

All of the details in today's video:

Read more...

Nice for a couple of days, but...

>> Wednesday, March 08, 2017

Our weekend system will arrive for Saturday night into Sunday. It still appears this system could possibly involve some snow for some in the region.

Today's video:

Read more...

Some showers tonight...interesting weekend system...

>> Tuesday, March 07, 2017

All of the details in today's video:

Read more...

Milder air returns

>> Monday, March 06, 2017

Couple of storm systems over the next week as well....

Today's video:

Read more...

Chilly through the weekend

>> Friday, March 03, 2017

Next system then arrives late Tuesday.

Today's video:

Read more...

Much cooler air has arrived

>> Thursday, March 02, 2017

A complete wrap-up of our departed storm system, plus a look at some chillier weather the next few days and a peek at next week.

Today's video:

Read more...

Record warmth today, then big storms this evening

>> Wednesday, March 01, 2017

Much cooler weather arrives later tonight.

Details in today's video:

Read more...

Warmer and getting unsettled

>> Tuesday, February 28, 2017

Details on some storm chances, colder temps to wrap up the week, and long-range ideas.

Today's video:

Read more...

Warmer, then a mid-week storm system

>> Monday, February 27, 2017

Plus, two shots of cold air on the way.

Today's video:

Read more...

Weather changes this weekend

>> Friday, February 24, 2017

Plus, I take a look at next week and the potential for a colder pattern in March.

Today's video:

Read more...

Warmth back in place

>> Thursday, February 23, 2017

Plus I take a look at next week and the long-range in today's video:

Read more...

Shower chances today....

>> Wednesday, February 22, 2017

Very warm finish to the week on tap. Also, a dynamic storm system will likely bring severe weather to the Ohio Valley and Midwest and heavy snow to the northern Plains Friday.

Today's video:

Read more...

Still mild, but rain chances coming

>> Tuesday, February 21, 2017

Cooler by Sunday, plus a take a look at the early March pattern.

Today's video:

Read more...

Beautiful day...couple of systems later this week...

>> Monday, February 20, 2017

And the mild pattern overall continues....

Today's video:

Read more...

Milder air back in place

>> Friday, February 17, 2017

Plus, a take a look at a potential pattern change in the long-range.

Today's video:

Read more...

Cool today; big warm-up starts tomorrow

>> Thursday, February 16, 2017

Plus, a look at our pattern for late February into early March.

Today's video:

Read more...

Rain this morning

>> Wednesday, February 15, 2017

Warm-up again over the weekend into early next week, but changes on the long-range pattern are possible.

Details in today's video:

Read more...

Rain arrives late tonight

>> Tuesday, February 14, 2017

A look at our incoming storm system, the upcoming weekend, and beyond...

Today's video:

Read more...

Much cooler today after record warmth Sunday

>> Monday, February 13, 2017

Amazing warmth yesterday with almost every city in the Carolinas obliterating the previous record highs. However, much cooler air will now prevail through the work week.

Today's video:

Read more...

Big weekend warm-up on the way

>> Friday, February 10, 2017

Cooler again by Monday.

Today's video:

Read more...

Very warm today, showers and storms tonight

>> Wednesday, February 08, 2017

Much colder tomorrow and Friday, then another huge warm-up this weekend.

Today's video:

Read more...

Near record warmth today and tomorrow

>> Tuesday, February 07, 2017

Then a late-week shot of colder air followed by another huge weekend warm-up.

All the details in today's video:

Read more...

Up and down we go....

>> Monday, February 06, 2017

We remain in the up-and-down temperature pattern this week. I take a look at that, plus some long-range ideas.

Today's video:

Read more...

Light precip ends this morning

>> Friday, February 03, 2017

Cold today and tomorrow, warmer early next week, then colder again and watching for storm systems.

Today's video:

Read more...

Colder air moving back in

>> Thursday, February 02, 2017

Plus, I look at a temperature roller coaster next week and some long range ideas in today's video:

Read more...

Still mild today, but temps set to tumble

>> Wednesday, February 01, 2017

All of the details in today's video:

Read more...

Much milder today and tomorrow, but...

>> Tuesday, January 31, 2017

Temperatures trend down thereafter as precipitation chances return.

Today's video:

Read more...

Roller coaster temps

>> Monday, January 30, 2017

Back in the saddle this morning. A huge thanks to all who filled in for me, allowing me to take some time off over the past couple of weeks!

Up and down temps this week, and we'll need to watch the interaction of precipitation with colder air over the weekend.

Today's video:

Read more...

Milder air in place, cooler for Saturday

>> Thursday, January 12, 2017

Plus some long-range thoughts in today's video:

Read more...

Milder air continues to work in

>> Wednesday, January 11, 2017

Some showers today as well.

A look at what's ahead today and into next week in today's video:

Read more...

Finally crawling out of the deep freeze

>> Tuesday, January 10, 2017

All of the details on our upcoming weather in today's video:

Read more...

What went right, what went wrong?

>> Monday, January 09, 2017

A look back at my snowfall forecast and a look ahead as we try to crawl out of the grips of bitterly cold arctic air.

Today's video:

Read more...

Late Morning Update for Incoming Winter Storm

>> Friday, January 06, 2017

Today's video has all of the details:




The short-range 12z models are rolling in, and I don't see any reason for any big forecast changes.

Warmer air aloft will try to work in with this system and cause some snow to mix in with sleet or even rain in some areas. I expect the Triad and the northern and western Charlotte metro, and probably Charlotte proper, to stay all or mostly snow. But near and southeast of a line from just SE of Charlotte to Albemarle to near Asheboro to near Raleigh, the threat of some mixing (which would reduce snow totals) is definitely there. It's a very fine line.

On the flip side, locations just NW of the mixing line are often the big winners regarding snow totals. So it's the dance you have to dance if you are hunting for the best snows.

In locations that remain all snow, a solid 6-10" looks likely, and there is definitely the chance some areas exceed 10". And as always, there will be some places the under-perform and only get a couple of inches.

PLEASE TAKE NOTE that it will be bitterly cold following the system. Please make preparations for a means to stay warm in the event you happen to lose power.




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Potential winter storm on the way

>> Thursday, January 05, 2017

Today's video has all of the details:

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Snow potential and brutal cold on the way....

>> Wednesday, January 04, 2017


Above is the video. Really challenging forecast still regarding snow potential. Frankly, there is way more disagreement between the various computer models than I would like to see at this range. A few differences I'm looking at:

* RPM and Canadian model are much quicker with the arrival of precip than most models.

* GFS remains further south with the system.

* European model generally the furthest north and strongest with the system.

* Individual ensemble members of GFS and European are generally boom or bust... either big snows or weak and next to nothing.

* GFS snow footprint has been trending slowly northward over the last several runs. Not big adjustments, but they are there. See below:



It is still too early in the game for me to mention specific accumulation ideas, but here's the idea from me at this point:



I think the European solution is about as far north as this can go, and I think there's a decent chance the GFS continues to slowly adjust north.

However, the weakening seen in the latest UKMET model (see video) gives me some pause, and there is still a chance this could wind up trending weaker, as some of those ensemble members I mentioned indicate.

If you want a decent system, the overall key is keeping this piece of energy rolling through the southern Plains as independent and intense as possible .




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Milder in the short term, then...

>> Tuesday, January 03, 2017

Much colder with some winter weather potential.

All of the thoughts and details in today's video:

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Wet start to 2017

>> Monday, January 02, 2017

And I take an in-depth look at the potential for wintry weather late this week:

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