Dangerous heat and humidity

The heat and humidity march on today through the weekend with lots of highs in the upper 90s. When you factor in the high levels of humidity, the heat index values will range in the 102-108 degree range this afternoon, tomorrow afternoon, and Sunday afternoon.

This is dangerous type of heat, and you need to take special care to remain hydrated and take frequent breaks to cool off if you must be outside for extended periods of time. Please check on anybody that does not have air conditioning, and remember your pets need shade and cool water if they must be left outside.

The Triad area saw a little bit of rain early this morning, but the coverage of storms this afternoon will only be isolated at best. Same deal tomorrow.

A front will begin to approach Sunday, and the chance of some afternoon and evening storms Sunday will be a little better. That front will then stall out around the region Monday and likely give us a good coverage of scattered storms Monday and Tuesday.

There are some signs of a pattern change to some cooler weather a week or so from now.....I would take it!

Tropics...

Tropical Storm Bonnie continues to battle hostile upper level winds, and there is some chance the system could degenerate into a tropical wave again. However, the official NHC forecast calls for Bonnie to maintain tropical storm status as it moves across south Florida today and into the northern Gulf coast over the weekend.

The bottom line here is that I think the upper end potential for Bonnie is pretty low due to the hostile upper level winds.

Read more...

New tropical system....

The National Hurricane Center will initiate advisories on our next tropical system as off 11am.

Read more...

Oppressive heat and humidity...

Heat and humidity will continue to be our big weather stories over the next few days. Highs will be in the mid 90s today.....even upper 90s in some spots, and heat index values will exceed 100 degrees at times. While a few isolated storms can't be ruled out, the majority of us should remain dry today.

The heat will reach its apex tomorrow into the weekend. Highs tomorrow and Saturday will be in the upper 90s to around 100 degrees across the region, and heat index values will likely eclipse 105 at times during the afternoons.

Better chances of some showers and storms arrive early next week as a weakening cold front approaches. Some afternoon storms are possible Sunday with better chances Monday and Tuesday afternoon.

Tropics....

A couple of areas to watch. First, our disturbance near Hispaniola continues to battle shear, but there are some developmental possibilities. That system will wind up in the Gulf this weekend.

The second area is way down in the Bay of Campeche. Some slow development is possible in that region, but whatever forms will likely move into Mexico sooner rather than later.

Read more...

Hot, hot, hot...

The heat and humidity march on across the region today with highs in the mid 90s in many places. As we head through the day, there will again be that chance of some afternoon and evening showers and storms, and once again, some damaging winds, lightning, and locally heavy rain will be possible if you find yourself under one of the storms. Like yesterday, the greatest coverage of storms could wind up being the farther north you go in the region.

Hot and humid conditions will roll on tomorrow into the weekend....mid 90s tomorrow with mid to upper 90s Friday and Saturday. I still feel some spots will hit 100. I also only anticipate an isolated coverage of afternoon storms tomorrow through Saturday.

A weak cold front will try to drop in here Sunday and Monday, and that should increase the coverage of storms again. Highs should also back down into the lower 90s by Monday as well.

Tropics...

Our disturbance in the northern Caribbean continues to try and organize, and there is a good chance that this will become our next classified tropical system. Odds are this will move close to Florida and wind up in the Gulf of Mexico by this weekend.

Read more...

Here comes the heat....

The dog days of summer are settling into the region, and heat and humidity will be the most significant weather stories around here for the next five or six days.

This is classic summer stuff, although temperatures will run above average. Highs today through Thursday will largely be in the mid 90s, then some upper 90s look possible Friday and Saturday. Some spots will likely hit 100 at some point later this week. Lows will only drop into the mid 70s.

Regarding rain chances, each day will feature the chance of some isolated afternoon and early evening storms, but the chance of rain in any one spot each day will be relatively small.

Not only will it be hot through the rest of the week, it will also be quite muggy. Please check on anybody that doesn't have access to air conditioning. If you have to spend extended periods of time outside, take frequent breaks, preferably in air conditioning, and be sure and drink plenty of water.

Tropics...

The tropical wave near Puerto Rico is showing a little better organization this morning, and some slow development is possible. A general west-northwest track will continue.

Read more...

Unsettled again today...

Our weekend featured showers and storms scattered around the region at times, and more of the same is on tap for today. A disturbance over eastern Tennessee this morning will move eastward around the VA/NC border region as today unfolds. The result will be a good coverage of showers and storms for our Monday with highs in the upper 80s to near 90. Again today, some damaging winds, prolific lightning, and localized flash flooding issues will be possible.

We will still have some scattered storms tomorrow, but upper level ridging will build overhead as we get deeper into the week. This will lead to only a very limited storm chance on a daily basis and fairly oppressive levels of heat and humidity. In fact, I am expecting mid to upper 90s for highs each day from mid-week through the weekend with morning lows only in the mid 70s.

Tropics....

There are a couple of disturbances out there that bear watching, but I don't expect any immediate development.

Read more...