Warming trend continues....

First off, a couple of nuggets four the Triad.....first of all, no winter weather this weekend. After for consecutive weekends of some type of wintry precip, a mild and quiet one this time around.

Secondly, if we hit 50 degrees today, it will be the first time since January 28 that PTI has recorded a temp of 50 degrees or higher.

The warming trend will continue today with highs in the low to mid 50s around the region. Look for mid to upper 50s tomorrow, with some lower 60s Sunday. We will see a sunny sky today, and then partly sunny skies over the weekend.

Our next shot at rain will arrive Monday. No wintry precip with that one....the cold air will be well north of us.

Don't get used to the milder weather....we will plunge back into a colder pattern as next week unfolds, and I expect well below average temps by the second half of next week.

The models are all over the place with potential storm systems next week, and I have zero confidence in any one solution from any one model. Watch and wait mode on that.....

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Kevin's Post......

Zonal flow will dominate the rest of the work week and right through our weekend as the trough moves out.This will bring our area much milder or more seasonable temperatures that we have seen in awhile. Today you can expect alot of sunshine with highs in the mid 40's and low's in the upper 20's. For the weekend, we will see mid 50's for highs and some places may even top out at 60. Monday will bring rain as a low pushes through with highs in the mid 40's. After Monday, I believe we will see nice days for Tuesday, Wednesday , and Thursday with highs in the mid 40's. Fridays forecast looks to be interesting with the GFS tossing around some snow chances but we will have to see how other models handle this as it approaches. Right now the models have the low suppressed to the south with a upper-level low over the NE. Things will become clearer by next week but until then get out this weekend and enjoy the milder weather because it wont last long as a trough will set back up over the SE.

Kevin Smith
kbsmith@uncc.edu

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Gradually getting milder....

Highs today will be roughly 5 degrees milder than yesterday in most spots...mainly mid to upper 40s. Look for a lot of sunshine as well.

We will keep the gradual warming trend going with some lower 50s tomorrow and mid to upper 50s this weekend...even some lower 60s in some spots.

Our next system will roll in Monday and bring us a chance of rain. That will be first in a new series of storm system to impact the southeastern US as we again enter an active storm track. We will also head back into a colder pattern next week.

I expect the cold and storm pattern to persist into March....

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A chance to catch our breath this week....

We will get a respite from the active storm track for the remainder of this work week as conditions will be chilly and dry. Today will feature highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s, and it will be a bit breezy as well. Look for low to mid 40s tomorrow, mid to upper 40s Thursday, and upper 40s to lower 50s Friday.

Still some uncertainty for the weekend, but I have left things dry as of this morning's package. It looks like the next significant chance of precip will come around Monday. The models are all over the place with the track of that low pressure though.

After a respite from the active storm track this week, the southern branch looks to come to life again next week and beyond, so enjoy the breather this week!

Housekeeping note here...I will not be in the weather office tomorrow morning, so there will be no new video or blog post Wednesday morning. Back to a regular schedule Thursday morning.

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System swinging through this morning....

A storm system is quickly swinging through the region this morning, and I will continue with the idea of a rain and snow mix for many across our region this morning. The mix will likely be weighted more toward the snow side of things up in the foothills and mountains, and Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for those areas. For the Piedmont, while some flakes could be seen, this is not a good setup for accumulating snow.

Most of the precip should be out of the Triad and Charlotte zones by soon after lunch, and then we will see a chilly and quiet work week unfold. Lows will be well down into the 20s with highs in the lower 40s tomorrow and Wednesday, then warming into the mid to upper 40s Thursday and Friday.

The pattern is a bit convoluted this weekend into early next week, and we might wind up with some precip chances somewhere in there. But for this morning's forecast package, I have just brought in some clouds, and we will hone in on any precip chances as the week unfolds.

The overall cold and stormy pattern looks to persist through the end of the month and into March....

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