>> Saturday, August 26, 2006
Congrats to the Lane family on the birth of their son. Truly one of the greatest moments of life!
As for the weather, the latest information is rolling in on Ernesto. Looks like the center has re-formed under the deep convection...so the center has shifted northeast from the earlier recon fix.
Seems most models continue their gradual shift eastward.
At this point, all eventual Gulf landfall options are still open, but I am beginning to get the feeling landfall could be more likely from Louisiana eastward through Florida. Still too early though. Also, another option that is beginning to show up on the models is that Ernesto could really slow down as it approaches the Gulf coast. We will keep watching that.
Assuming Ernesto remains south of Cuba, it still appears some significant strengthening could occur later tomorrow through Monday. I still think we will likely be looking at a major Gulf hurricane.
Also, it is interesting to note the well-defined cold air damming (CAD) set-up around here on some modelling Thursday and Friday. The 12z European model is wild showing a strong CAD around here while a hurricane is making landfall on the Florida Peninsula late next week.
Looks like a busy week ahead in the weather office.