Here comes the chill....

>> Friday, September 30, 2011



The big temperature change I have been highlighting for a while begins today and tonight. A sharp cold front will zip through the region today, and along with the front will come a thin band of clouds and showers. The shower chances will increase the further east you go in the region. Highs today in the I-85 corridor will be in the 70s with some 80s further east.

By tomorrow morning, most everybody in the region will be in the 40s....with 30s in the mountains and a few snowflakes possible. Highs tomorrow will struggle to even make it into the lower 60s...and some spots in the foothills will likely top out in the upper 50s. Many mountain highs will be in the 40s at best.

Piedmont lows Sunday and Monday morning will be in the lower 40s and upper 30s....chilly stuff.

Highs will rebound into the 70s by Tuesday and Wednesday next week.

Tropics...

Ophelia is a hurricane and will pass east of Bermuda this weekend.

Philippe will head generally west-northwest over open Atlantic waters through mid-week next week.

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Nice Thursday weather...

>> Thursday, September 29, 2011



Highs today will warm into the lower side of the 80s in most spots with lots of sun. If you enjoy the warmth, soak it i, because big changes are coming.

A sharp cold front will slide through tomorrow with only a quick-moving band of some clouds. Highs in many spots tomorrow will likely be in the 70s.

By Saturday morning, most Piedmont spots should be in the 40s, and then highs Saturday and Sunday will struggle to make it up into the low to mid 60s.

The chilliest mornings will be Sunday and Monday morning when upper 30s and lower 40s are likely in many Piedmont locations.

The first snowflakes of the season will fly up in parts of the mountains of the Virginias, and I can't even rule out a snowflake or two in the highest of locations in NW NC.

Highs will gradually warm back up through the 70s next work week.

Tropics...

Ophelia will continue to lift generally north and will track a little east of Bermuda, likely as a hurricane, this weekend.

Philippe will head to the northwest, but then a bend back to the west is likely in the medium range as strong ridging sets up north of the system over the Atlantic. We will see how strong that ridging remains in the longer term.

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Drier air settling in...

>> Wednesday, September 28, 2011



Last night, we had a pretty good little area of rain and storms traverse parts of the region. This was triggered by the same disturbance that brought some rain and storms early Tuesday to parts of Mississippi and Alabama. However, behind that disturbance, some drier air is arriving and a less humid day will unfold for our Wednesday across much of the region with highs in the 80s.

Afternoons will remain relatively warm through Friday.

Autumn chill...

Our first real taste of fairly chilly Autumn air will arrive in time for the weekend. Saturday will be fairly blustery with north winds through the day and Piedmont highs in the 60s under full sun. Sunday will also feature 60s for highs with sun.

Morning lows will indeed be chilly. As soon as Saturday morning, temps will likely dip into the 40s. The coolest mornings will likely be Sunday and Monday mornings, and if the wind can go calm overnight, a few spots might even reach the upper 30s.

Tropics...

Ophelia is with us again, and Philippe is still out in the Atlantic. See the video for more on both of these systems.

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Still warm and humid today, but big changes coming...

>> Tuesday, September 27, 2011



A little impulse is rippling through today, and the result has been some morning showers and storms across the region. Highs will remain warm today....up into the 80s....and it will still be pretty humid.

Some drier air will gradually work in from the west tomorrow, and the result will be a big decrease in the shower and storm chances. However, there will probably still be a couple of them around, and highs will remain in the 80s.

It stays pretty warm through Friday, but then we see some big changes.

Weekend...

A full-latitude trough will carve out over the eastern US in time for a big shot of chillier air this weekend. We are looking at a lot of Piedmont highs in the 60s and low in the 40s. If we can manage to get a night with a clear sky and a calm wind, a couple of the traditionally cooler Piedmont spots could possibly dip in the upper 30s one morning this weekend or early next week.

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