'High' risk today in Ohio/ Tennessee Valleys..

>> Friday, March 02, 2012

If you have family or friends in the moderate or high risk areas today, please make sure they are paying attention to the weather.


Some showers and storms...

Another big-time storm system is impacting the eastern US today. A very significant severe weather risk exists today in the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys, and unfortunately, many of the same areas are under the gun today that were hit with the severe weather outbreak earlier this week.

Here is today's edition of the video...

Out ahead of the main storm system, a warm front is lifting through the region today, and that front is allowing for the chance of scattered showers and storms in the Carolinas. The severe threat is fairly low during the day today, but it isn't zero....so we will watch it.

We will likely see a band of rain and storms make it across the mountains and into the foothills and piedmont late tonight through tomorrow morning. That could be our best window of opportunity of severe weather.

Cooler air will follow a cold front with highs by Sunday in the 50s and some sub-freezing lows again by early next week.


Warm and breezy today...next system approaches tomorrow...

>> Thursday, March 01, 2012

Here is today's edition of the video...

With lots of sun and breezy westerly winds, highs will surge to near record levels in many spots across the region today. For the Charlotte and Triad zones, look for highs in the mid to upper 70s with some lower 80s quite possible over around I-95.

Our next storm system will approach tomorrow. This is going to be another dynamic storm system that likely produces lots of severe weather. In fact, a 'moderate' risk of severe weather is up for tomorrow and tomorrow night to the west of the mountains.

I expect we will see some showers and probably a few storms as a warm front lifts through our region tomorrow and tomorrow night. Then, we will get a band of rain and storms ahead of a sharp cold front Saturday.

Any storms will have to be watched for severe weather potential.

Cooler temps...

Much cooler air will arrive by Sunday, and I expect some slightly below average highs and lows Sunday through Tuesday.

Another upper level disturbance will move through Sunday night or Monday, and it's possible it could generate a little precip. In the mountains, this would likely be snow, but east of the mountains, low level temps would likely mainly support rain.


Storm system moving in...

>> Wednesday, February 29, 2012

A classic late Winter/ early Spring storm system ongoing....blizzard condition to the north of the system with severe weather to the south.

Here's today's video:

We will see lots of clouds today with some showers at times. A few storms are also possible this afternoon. A band of showers and storms will then move through this evening and tonight.

A few strong to severe storms are possible in the Carolinas. Damaging winds would be our biggest threat. Although I don't think this is a huge severe weather event around here, we will keep an eye on it.

Tomorrow will be warm, sunny and breezy....highs well into the 70s...maybe around 80 in the Sandhills.

Our next system then impacts us Friday into Saturday. Look for some showers Friday as a warm front lifts through, then another round of showers and storms Saturday with a cold front.

The models are all handling a secondary piece of energy rolling down the backside of the main weekend trough differently...see the video for more.


Nice Tuesday weather.... two systems on the way...

>> Tuesday, February 28, 2012

A major low pressure area will rapidly strengthen as it moves from the Rockies into the Great Lakes region over the next 24 hours. This will be a major snow storm in the northern Plains, Upper Midwest, and Great Lakes with some blizzard conditions in some spots.

On the warmer side of the system, severe weather will be a threat from parts of Oklahoma eastward into western Tennessee today and tonight.

For our region, look for lots of sunshine today with highs topping 60. Clouds will roll in tonight, and some showers are possible as soon as late tonight.

Tomorrow will feature showers and times, and then some storms are possible tomorrow night. I can't rule out a few severe storms somewhere in the region, but instability could be lacking.

Thursday will be warm and breezy, and then another major low pressure will develop and rapidly deepen from the Midwest into southeastern Canada. This will bring us some showers Friday and Friday night and then possibly a round of storms Saturday.


Three systems this week...

>> Monday, February 27, 2012

Here is today's video. In it, I take a look at three storm systems this week....

A pretty active pattern will unfold across the Lower 48 this week. For our area, the result is three storm systems moving through.

The first system is today, and it is the weakest of the week's systems. Look for a good deal of clouds today and a few passing showers. The better rain chances will be the further east you go. In fact, the mountains and foothills will likely avoid most of the rain.

We will get a break tomorrow with sun and high clouds with highs in the 60s.

In the meantime, a major low pressure will bring a huge snowstorm for the northern Plains, the Upper Midwest, and the Great Lakes region. Blizzard Watches are out in the Dakotas in advance of this system.

On the warmer side of the system, severe weather looks likely tomorrow into Wednesday across the Mississippi Valley into the Deep South.

Here in the Carolinas, we will see some showers from this system by Wednesday, and some thunderstorms could be involved Wednesday night. However, the severe weather threat will be lessening with the dynamics well off to our north.

We get another break Thursday before the next system rolls in Friday into Saturday. This one looks pretty mean in terms of severe weather potential in the Lower Mississippi Valley, Tennessee Valley, and the South Friday into Friday night. The main cold front will then swings through the Carolinas Saturday with showers and storms.


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