Dry today... storm system tomorrow....

>> Friday, December 13, 2013

After another dry day today, our next system rolls through tomorrow.

First of all, for the piedmont, this is a rain event, albeit a chilly rain event. In places like the Triad, the temp could very well be in the 30s all day long tomorrow.

As the precip first arrives, a brief period of wintry precip is possible. Outside of the mountains, this will not be a big deal.

However, let me say that I am a bit concerned about some locations in the northwest NC mountains tomorrow. For instance, the NAM model in Boone has a quick hit of some snow followed by an extended period of freezing rain....enough to be significant.

So I would caution those of you in the NW NC mountains and up into the Virginias to pay attention to this system, even though you might not be hearing much about it.

The system will depart in time for dry weather Sunday (aside from some upslope mountain snow), and the dry weather will persist much of next week.

Here's today's video with more:


Cold and dry through tomorrow.... west Saturday ahead...

>> Thursday, December 12, 2013

Highs today will actually be colder than yesterday as a fresh surge of cold and dry air has arrived. Then, tonight will be quite cold with piedmont lows well down into the 20s..... even a few upper teens in the normally colder spots.

No real changes here to my thinking on our Saturday system. For the piedmont and most of the foothills, this will be a mostly rain event. And it could be a soaker with some spots maybe seeing 1" of rain.

As the precip initially arrives, a period of snow and sleet is likely in the mountains and possible in the northern foothills. However, even in those areas, most spots will see this period of wintry precip be very brief before the transition to rain.

See the video for more details on the Saturday system as well as a look ahead to next week and beyond:


Cold and dry through Friday, then a wet Saturday...

>> Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Cold and dry arctic will will be the rule around here through Friday. In fact, a reinforcing shot of colder air will arrive in time for colder temps tomorrow than what we will see today.

Our next system still looks to deliver a very wet day around the region Saturday. As I show in the video, if the precip arrives early enough Saturday morning, a very brief bit of wintry precip couldn't be ruled out in the foothills. But even there, that would not be a big deal.

Overall, it looks like a soaking rain event Saturday.

This time around, it is a one day event though, so we are back to dry weather Sunday into much of next week.

Here's today's video:


>> Monday, December 09, 2013

Above is today's video... give it a look.

North Carolina's little bout with freezing rain has ended this morning as temps have slowly risen above freezing in the vast majority of areas. This was far from a big ice storm around most of North Carolina, but the ice was more significant up in the Virginias, as expected.

We will be dealing with a stubborn wedge today and tonight, so temps will only slowly climb today and hold near steady tonight. Look for occasional rain and drizzle today, tonight, and through tomorrow morning. Some snow is possible up in the Virginias tomorrow morning as the final wave of low pressure moves through.

Following this system, look for lots of sun but cold temps Wed through Fri. Highs and lows will be a good deal below average for mid-December.

Our next system rolls in Saturday. Some model runs over the past few days, including the 12z Euro from yesterday, brought a nice snow event to much of NC with that one. However, that scenario is unlikely, and I expect a mainly rain event. If precip arrived early enough Saturday morning, I suppose a brief period of wintry precip would be possible, but at this point, that looks unlikely and no big deal.

I see no sign at all of any prolonged significant warm-up over the next couple of weeks. In fact, we might have another big shot of cold air next week.


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