Cold airmass blowing in...

>> Friday, November 05, 2010



Today will be a fairly blustery day as a cold airmass blows into the region. Up in the mountains, the upslope snow machine is in full swing today, and many northwest facing slopes will pick up 2-4" of snow with some localized amounts over 6".

In the Piedmont, it will be a fairly breezy day with highs in the mid to at most upper 50s. As a disturbance ripples overhead late this afternoon and early this evening, a few pop-up showers are possible...maybe even a rumble of thunder. I also still think a few spots might see a sleet pellet or two.

Tonight lows will drop fairly close to freezing in many Piedmont spots. Highs tomorrow will struggle to make it to 50 degrees, and then lows Sunday morning will plunge into the mid to upper 20s.

Warm-up...

If you are wanting warmer temps, then you will like next week. Highs by the middle part of the week will reach to near 70 degrees or so, and most days will feature lots of sun.

Tomas...

Tomas is a hurricane once again, and the system is passing very close to western Haiti and eastern Cuba today. Tomas will then move through the eastern Bahamas and out to sea in the Atlantic.

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Chilly, rainy Thursday

>> Thursday, November 04, 2010



Today will be a rather chilly, rainy day. Waves of low pressure are riding up near the coast, and a lot of upper level dynamics are plunging in from the northwest. The result will be rainy conditions and chilly temps....highs only in the low to mid 50s for most.

This will be a decent rain event. The heaviest rain will likely be around roughly I-95 and points east, where over an inch could fall. For the I-85 corridor, I am thinking totals of around a half inch or so.

Colder air will begin blowing in here tomorrow, and it will be a breezy day overall. As some very cold temperatures aloft move overhead, a few isolated showers will be possible, and because the temps aloft are so cold, I wouldn't rule out a few Piedmont locations seeing a few sleet pellets.

Up in the mountains, the first upslope snow event of the season will begin tonight and wind down by Saturday. Many of the favored areas could see at least a couple of inches, and some areas that find themselves in the sweet spot might see 6 or 8 inches.

Weekend cold snap...

Lows by Saturday morning will be in the low to mid 30s and lows Sunday morning will likely be in the mid to upper 20s. Highs Saturday will likely struggle to hit 50 degrees in a number of Piedmont locations, with highs in the 50s and full sun Sunday.

We will see a fairly dramatic warm-up as we get into next work week. Highs by Tuesday and Wednesday will warm to around 70 or so.


Tomas...



Tomas is a tropical storm again this morning, and the system has a good chance of ramping back up to hurricane intensity. Tomas will pass just east of Jamaica and then head toward western Haiti and eastern Cuba. The system will then head through the Bahamas and out to sea in the Atlantic.

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Rain chances develop in...

>> Wednesday, November 03, 2010



The chilly regime continues today with lots of clouds and highs again in the 50s. The atmosphere continues to moisten, and in time we will see some light rain and drizzle develop into the region today.

As an area of low pressure develops and strengthens along the coast, rain will settle in later tonight and through much of tomorrow. I don't expect heavy amounts of rain, but some spots could possible see up to a half inch or so. Temps tonight will be in the 40s with daytime temps tomorrow only making it to the low to mid 50s in many spots.

Big blast of cold air...

A major shot of colder air will begin to blow in here by Friday, and Friday will be a blustery day with highs in the mid to upper 50s. Some snow flakes will likely fly up in the mountains, and I can't rule out a few patches of sleet around the Piedmont Friday.

That shot of cold air will set us up for a pretty cold weekend. Highs Saturday might struggle to reach the lower 50s despite a sunny sky, and lows will be in the lower 30s by Saturday morning for most. Sunday morning will likely be the coldest morning with Piedmont lows in the upper 20s.

Milder air will return next work week with some 60s and even some 70s back in place for highs by mid-week.

Tomas...

Tomas has weakened to a tropical depression this morning, but the system should intensify again and head in the general direction of Hispanola.

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Chilly conditions continue...

>> Tuesday, November 02, 2010



Yesterday we had lots of sun through the day. Today, we will see a good deal of mainly high clouds, filtering the sun and making today a bit cooler than yesterday. Most Piedmont highs today will be in the 57-61 degree range.

A cold air damming configuration continues to set up with a strong area of high pressure moving from the Great Lakes into the New England states. That will continue to push chilly air south into our region. At the same time, we will continue to have moisture get lifted up and over that wedge at the surface, and the result will continue to be clouds over the next couple of days. Later tomorrow, as an area of low pressure develops near the coast, some rain chances will spread in and continue into Thursday.

Drier and fairly cold conditions should spread in in gusty northwesterly winds Friday. Highs this weekend will only be in the 50s despite lots of sunshine, and lows both days this weekend could wind up in the light freeze category. Up in the mountains, some snow flakes could fly Friday.

Tomas...

After being heavily sheared yesterday, Tomas is strengthening again today. The system stands a good chance of becoming a hurricane again, and the most likely scenario is a turn to the north toward Hispanola later this week.

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November is here....

>> Monday, November 01, 2010



November has arrived, and along with it will come a chilly week. Today will be the warmest day all week, and we are only talking about highs this afternoon in the lower 60s at most for the Piedmont.

A classic cold air damming event will unfold this week. Cold high pressure will develop from the Great Lakes into the New England states. That high will then wedge down into our region tomorrow through Thursday. Clouds will begin to roll in tonight and tomorrow, and by Wednesday, the chance of a chilly rain will arrive. Those rain chances will continue through Thursday, and some showers might even linger into Friday.

Highs tomorrow will be in the mid to upper 50s, then with the clouds and rain Wednesday and Thursday, it will be low to mid 50s at most....some places might struggle to even hit 50 Wednesday or Thursday.

Behind the storm system, the upcoming weekend looks dry with lots of sun but highs below average and a light freeze possible by Sunday morning.

Tomas...

Tomas is really struggling in the eastern Caribbean Sea today. The convection is displaced to the east of the center, further weakening is quite possible today.

Shear should relax on the system into mid-week, and at that point, some strengthening could occur. Eventually, Tomas could threaten the northern Caribbean.

How 'bout my Dawgs?! 7-2 now headed into the bye....I'll take it!

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