>> Wednesday, August 22, 2007
>> Tuesday, August 21, 2007
Dean made landfall near Costa Maya around 3:30am as a Category 5 hurricane with maximum sustained winds near 165mph and a pressure an amazing 906mb. Our prayers are with the folks in the Yucatan Peninsula.
>> Monday, August 20, 2007
The latest information from a recon plane just revealed that Dean has become a Category 5 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 160mph. The pressure is down to 914mb as well.
Dean will make landfall tonight on the Yucatan Peninsula, and it will be a devastaing blow where it comes ashore.
I am also keeping a close eye on a disturbance in the Atlantic north of the Lesser Antilles. That system bears close watching, and a lot of modeling is picking up on development in that area as well.
It was good to have a day off today. With Dean lurking last week, that meant not getting home until about midnight each night. So, it was good to tuck the kids in bed tonight.
>> Sunday, August 19, 2007
It looks like Jamaica, especially the southern coastline, took a significant blow from Dean. It will be interesting to see what type of storm surge occurred in the bays on the southeast side of the islands. The path the hurricane took was almost perfect for producing a significant storm surge. While Jamaica is mountainous, there are some low-lying areas near the coast.
How the winds reacted around Kingston is very interesting....another blog post for another day.
Dean is pulling away from Jamaica tonight. Recon plane is indicating Dean has essentially maintained the same intensity as it scraped by Jamaica. So, it still looks like Dean has a decent chance of becoming a Category 5 as it approaches the Yucatan.
The observation site in Kingston, Jamaica just reported sustained winds of 114mph with gusts of 138mph! Keep in mind Kingston is not in the eyewall....I can only imagine the condition the southern coast of the island is enduring.
Dean is still a strong Category 4 hurricane, and the system appears to be getting stronger as we head into evening. Dean is bearing down on Jamaica as I am typing this.
It looks like the northern eyewall of the system will come very close to if not over the southern coast of the island, and I expect a significant storm surge into the bay on the southern side of the island.
After Jamaica, it is on to the Yucatan and then a final landfall likely again in Mexico after crossing the southern Gulf.