4pm Dean comment

Dean is still a strong Category 4 hurricane, and the system appears to be getting stronger as we head into evening. Dean is bearing down on Jamaica as I am typing this.

It looks like the northern eyewall of the system will come very close to if not over the southern coast of the island, and I expect a significant storm surge into the bay on the southern side of the island.

After Jamaica, it is on to the Yucatan and then a final landfall likely again in Mexico after crossing the southern Gulf.