Late Morning Update for Incoming Winter Storm

Today's video has all of the details:




The short-range 12z models are rolling in, and I don't see any reason for any big forecast changes.

Warmer air aloft will try to work in with this system and cause some snow to mix in with sleet or even rain in some areas. I expect the Triad and the northern and western Charlotte metro, and probably Charlotte proper, to stay all or mostly snow. But near and southeast of a line from just SE of Charlotte to Albemarle to near Asheboro to near Raleigh, the threat of some mixing (which would reduce snow totals) is definitely there. It's a very fine line.

On the flip side, locations just NW of the mixing line are often the big winners regarding snow totals. So it's the dance you have to dance if you are hunting for the best snows.

In locations that remain all snow, a solid 6-10" looks likely, and there is definitely the chance some areas exceed 10". And as always, there will be some places the under-perform and only get a couple of inches.

PLEASE TAKE NOTE that it will be bitterly cold following the system. Please make preparations for a means to stay warm in the event you happen to lose power.