Shower and storm chances...

>> Wednesday, August 18, 2010



A stalled frontal boundary remains draped through the region, and we remain in a warm, muggy airmass. Another disturbance will roll into the region later today, and the result will be more shower and storm chances this afternoon through tonight. Highs today will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s for most.

Tomorrow also looks unsettled with good shower and storm chances and highs in the 80s.

There remains the possibility of some locally heavy amounts of rain the next couple of days, and some localized flash flooding issues are possible.

Some drier air will slip in here for Friday, and thus Friday still looks primarily dry with highs close to 90 or so. An isolated storm is possible Saturday before we see better shower and storm chances again Sunday and Monday.

It still looks like a nice upper air low will carve itself out around the eastern seaboard early next work week. This will likely wind up keeping a lot of our highs in the 80s at that point.

Tropics...

Nothing brewing now, but all indications continue to be that we are headed into a more active period of tropical waves emerging off of Africa.

3 comments:

Anonymous 11:32 AM  

Hey!! I know it's super early but have you thought about this winter any? Do you know if anyone else has? (accuweather maybe?) Thanks,
JT

Robert Elvington 2:36 PM  

He usually waits until late September before he releases any winter forecasts. Really just focusing on the tropics as the African Easterly wave train is becoming very active. Yes Accuweather and the Climate Center both have released early winter forecasts recently. We are in early stages of La NINA so for whats it's worth maybe similar to the 2008/2009 winter. Still very early to tell.

Matthew East 7:19 PM  

Yeah, Robert is right. I will start my very early assessments over the next few weeks, and will post a random idea here or there. But I put out my entire Winter Outlook and it's accompanying video in October.

Accuweather has indeed put their prelim ideas....snow fans might not want to look at that.

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