Saturday morning...
>> Saturday, January 30, 2010
The event will slowly wind down, although some light precip could linger for a while. As is always the case with winter weather event, some folks are happy, and some are disappointed. As I normally do, I will review what was good and bad with the forecast (probably Monday morning) after all of the totals are tallied.
Roads will be very tricky today and tonight.....temps will really only hover all day, and then we plunge well down into the teens tonight.
Be careful, and enjoy your day!
13 comments:
I know this question has probably been asked many times over the years, but how can it still be a wintry mix with the temperature being so far below freezing? It's 23 here and sleeting. Is the layer of cold 'aloft' not thick enough? too warm?
Nathan....There remains a layer of warmer air aloft that is above freezing......about 6,000 to 7,000 feet aloft. Everything below that is below freezing, thus sleet.
It is extremely difficult to get an all snow event in NC outside of the mountains. There always seems to be a warm nose at some level to change the snow over to IP or FR as the storm pumps more warm air into the area as it begins to exit.Conversely, it sledom happens the reverse where we start off with non snow frozen precip and then transistion to snow although that does happen more than an all snow event does. Excellent work on the forecast Matt and look out for some non snow precip this coming weekend again. God Bless.
GFS looks pretty impressive again for next weekend. Is this accurate or are we looking at rain to wash away our snow?
GFS is looking interesting again next weekend as well the EMCWF with another siginificant snow next friday-saturday what do you think for that on. The GFS accumulated snowcover map from the 12Z run had 18-24inches plus for areas northwest of Raleigh the triad NW NC mountains and southern Va. The NWS raleigh is mentioning this today in the long term discussion that the NW areas could be looking at another winter storm the end of next week. What you think? Chris
Matthew, is there any winter weather opportunity looming out there next week or in the near future? Also, thanks for well done job this weekend. You are right - Charlotte and surroundings just got couple inches, but like you said, places north and west got more, as usual. Maybe the future storm might track slightly south so Charlotte may get a little bit more snow? lol...
I think you called it right. Here in Dallas we have about 5 inches and my mom says they have about 9 inches in Lincolnton.
Charlieann
Matt,
Thanks!!! Hope you and your family enjoy the weekend! Looking forward to your next post.
To whoever knows the answer to this question....
Where are these "z" runs yall mention? What does "z" stand for? What site are yall hitting up? Anonymous at 3pm talks about 18-24" for next weekend as indicated by the EMCWF 12z run. What is that and how can I find it so I can check it out for myself? I definitely don't put any stock into any forecast one week out, but I'd like to check it out myself. Btw, up here in Rockingham County, NC we have 9" on the ground and it's still snowing as of 8:20pm. This brings our season total to 17" so far...
Jeremy,
Z stand for Zulu time or GMT (Greenwhich mean time) It is commonly used in practice to refer to Coordinated Universal Time. The 00z 12z 18z notations are of the time the model runs took place. Model runs typically take place every 3,6, or 12 hours depending on the model. ECMWF is an acronym for The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. There are many many other forcast models that are used to help met. determine and accurate forcast. As for where to find these forcast models Accuweather Pro (a paid site with 30 day free trial) is a great resourse. Also NOAA.gov (weather.gov), and many other paid on non paid sites are available just google it, or ask for sources here on Matts blog, I am sure everyone here would be more than happy to guide you in the right direction. I am no pro, so if any information that I have provided is incorrect I apologize and fee free to correct me.
P.S. I reside in Summerfield so I am not to far away from you Jeremy and we have about 7.5" to 8" on the ground..
DrySlot,
Thanks for the help there. I appreciate the explanations and sites to check out. Summerfield is not far away at all. Glad to know there is someone local on here. Many seem to be from everywhere else in NC. I'm glad yall have some good snow on the ground. If I remember correctly, yall have more this time than you did last month.
Jeremy,
You would be correct. About 6 to 6.5" last month
I appreciate the kind words guys. I will compare the accumulation map with my forecast accumulation map on the video in the morning.
Yeah, there is some chance of something wintry later in the week. Not sure how good the chance is yet, but we will see....
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