Tuesday evening....

Just a few quick thoughts this evening....I see nothing to really change what I have put out there thus far. And will repeat the quote here that I have used for the past couple of days....

"All in all, I still think this system has good potential to produce significant wintry weather across portions of the Southeast."

Please notice I said 'potential'....I have not put out a forecast of a major winter storm as of yet....we are still in the potential department. I get the feeling that people think I have gone and said 'Snowy Death 2010 is about to exert its wrath on us.' I have not.

Now, with all of that said, I still feel somebody, and probably a lot of somebodies around the Southeast, will get a good winter event out of this. Who gets exactly what and how much are questions I am not ready to answer yet. The Triad continues to lean more toward the snowy (possibly some sleet too) side of things. Charlotte continues to lean toward the mix category of some snow/sleet/freezing rain. Some models indicate pretty much all snow...others indicate snow to freezing rain and sleet.

Is the dreaded north trend about to commence....
We are approaching the territory now where if there will be a north trend with this system, it should begin to show on the modeling fairly soon. The trend has been south on most modeling today, but I don't think it can go too much farther south. There is room for it to trend north, but it would likely have to be associated with the northern branch energy phasing in sooner that currently indicated. However, with the massive polar vortex to our north, there is only so far north it can trend as well.

So, that is where I will leave things tonight. NOTHING is set in stone, but most signs continue to point toward the potential for some significant wintry weather across much of North Carolina...and possibly down into northern South Carolina and northeast Georgia as well. But let's leave it in that potential category for now....