Quick evening thoughts....

The upcoming potential winter storm is a delicate interaction with northern and southern stream energy combined with cold air damming. If any one facet to that goes awry, so does the potential for a big winter storm.

With that disclaimer said, I see absolutely nothing this evening to sway me from thinking this has the chance to be a big winter storm for the western Carolinas, especially from I-85 north and west. In fact, if the 18z NAM and GFS are correct, this is a big-time winter storm for many places.

We are within 48 hours of the event, so time is running low for wild model swings. However, there will likely be some trending one way or another as we head through Thursday. There is still the chance this could deepen more than currently indicated, in which case the track of the low and snow shield might be father westward than currently indicated. It could also trend the other way though, meaning the snow is farther eastward, but with lower amounts.

But again, all modeling trends today have been toward this being a significant event.

In many spots along I-85, this could begin as a period of snow, then feature a wintry mix before ending as all snow again. But, those dividing lines all entirely depend on the exact track of the low.

I will have lots of information bright and early in the morning. A fresh video will be posted hopefully by 6am.

Have a good night....