Throwing in the towel....

Let me say this up front....there is still time for some changes, but it would take a dramatic shift in modelling over the next 24 hours to make me change my statements below. And while that is certainly possible, I don't think it is likely. So, with that said.......

I feel it is time to throw in the towel for folks in the Carolinas hoping for ice and snow Tuesday. If you are a snow fan, the trend has not been your friend today with each run of most modelling getting warmer and farther north with the system. After a little excitement with last night's 0z GFS, it has been all downhill from there today.

So, my gut feeling tells me this one is over for the Piedmont of the Carolinas if you are looking for a winter storm. While it is still possible we could see a little snow or ice on the back end of this system Tuesday night, that is even looking less likely right now.

Now, the upper level feature responsible for the storm will not get on the North American observation grid until tomorrow. Due to that, there are still a few doubts lingering in the back of my mind. However, to me, the prospects of a big winter storm in the Carolinas from this system now seem so low that I am throwing in the proverbial towel.

I will keep watching all of the new data with great interest, and honestly, I will be hoping for some sort of drastic change that will bring the region wintry weather. However, it seems very unlikely at this point....