12z Tuesday Euro

>> Tuesday, February 06, 2007

12z Euro is in, and wow....still showing a major winter storm for the Carolinas next week. Clinging to the details is somewhat pointless at this time-frame, but for 4 Euro runs in a row, these general ideas have shown up...

  • Classic cold air damming during the storm...parent high remains in place.
  • Lots of QPF...in fact, over an inch of QPF for most of NC...even up to 2 inches.
  • Fairly long-duration event....24-48 hours.
Like I said, clinging to details at this point is fruitless, but taken verbatin, the 12z Euro shows a significant amount of snow followed by a crippling ice storm for the Charlotte region.

I am not saying we are going to be hit with a devastaing winter storm next week. However, I am continuing to say that we have the potential for a winter storm in the Carolinas next week, and it needs to be watched closely.

The GFS is showing somewhat of a similar set-up, but details are a bit different. But, the European model, typically a bit superior in the medium range, showing this for 4 runs in a row gets my attention.

Stay tuned....

2 comments:

Anonymous 3:50 PM  

Matthew I was wondering how Accurate is the Euro as far As far makeing Predictions is it more then 90% right?

Anonymous 7:55 PM  

Given the synpotics on the 18z GFS, FEET of snow would be possible very close to CLT if not in the city.

I know that has to get you going matt ;)

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