Winter Weather Potential Ahead?

A couple of quick comments here. Yes, I have seen the GFS occasionally spitting out some snow in the Carolinas Friday or Friday night, but I do not think that will be a concern. That solution has very little support from other modelling or the GFS's own ensembles. I think that wave probably gets suppressed to the south of us.

However, I DO think we have winter weather potential around next Tuesday. The European model, for a few runs in a row now, has shown a huge winter storm all the way up parts the East Coast. For a few runs in a row now, its solution has dumped large amounts of wintry precip in the western Carolinas. The GFS continues to waffle around with that system, but the Euro has been rock-solid with it for a few runs now.

No, I am not saying we will have a big winter storm next week. What I am saying is that potential is there, and we will need to watch it closely. I feel pretty confident that this storm will exist. The big question for us is how cold with the air be when it arrives. We shall see....