Kevin's post....

Below is a post today from my intern, Kevin Smith.....


For our Tuesday we will see a chilly rain after a mix of sleet, freezing rain, and a few flakes early with highs in the mid 30' and lows tonight dipping down around freezing. Wednesday will bring sunny skies and milder temperatures with highs around 50. Our next system will roll in from the Gulf Friday morning and will last through Saturday night. There are still questions with this system and as we move the low from today off the coast the models should begin to do a better job with the next system on Friday. The last model runs trended a bit milder with the low moving over the NC/SC border. There will also be warm air advection out ahead of the low and right now I am not confident that the wedge will be strong enough to keep the temperatures at or below freezing during the duration of the event. Looking at the 500mb map at 06z the upper level low is positioned over the North Carolina/Virginia border and brings a nice piece of energy into our region which could bring snow to areas during the day on Saturday especially north of I-40. We will have to monitor this system as features will change as we come closer to the event. That being said, we are in a favorable weather pattern with the southern branch bringing us systems every three to four days.

Kevin Smith
kbsmith@uncc.edu