Batten down the hatches.....

>> Wednesday, February 10, 2010

Wind is the weather word today. We will see sustained winds anywhere from 15-35mph with gusts in excess of 50mph for much of the day. This will be enough to topple some trees and power poles. Also, travel will be tricky at times not only for high profile vehicles, but for cars as well. Keep in mind, we are talking gusts here up to severe thunderstorm criteria....this is not your average windy day.

It will also be chilly with highs struggling toward the upper side of the 30s today...wind chill values in the 20s at best.

Look for sunshine today and tomorrow with highs tomorrow in the low to mid 40s.

The next southern stream system approaches Friday. I still think this will wind up being a decent snow event for places like Shreveport, Jackson, Birmingham, Atlanta, and Columbia. It gets trickier farther north into North Carolina. See the video for some details here.

I think there is a chance the light snow could extend up into the Charlotte region by Friday night. But again, the northward extent of the precip is the biggest question here.

A strong 'clipper' system will dive in by Sunday night and Monday morning...that one could produce a few snow flakes.

Below average temps look to remain in place for much of the rest of the month.


Anonymous 8:34 AM  

Matt, I am really liking the look of the Canadian and I beleive it is handling it better. I think the models will begin trending North. I agree that I20 will get Snow and Coastal NC. Also, with the NAO tanking, do you think a low pressure could develop Friday Night Offshore and then again Sunday Night?

Matthew East 9:00 AM  

THe negative NAO isn't a be all end just generally means you have some ridging in Greenland. Exactly how that ridging develops determines the specifics with storm track....

Yeah, snow fans need to pull for the Canadian....

Anonymous 9:41 AM  


Jonathan (Hickory, NC) 10:08 AM  

The 12Z NAM has trended north with the expansion of precipitation. I know I'm really grasping at straws for anything out of this storm for the NW foothills of NC, but it's a start. Hours 66 and 72 show promise for NC. Let's hope this is the start of a trend!

Anonymous 10:13 AM  

It looks like most of the models are coming in line with the Canadian! The NAM, UKMET are both trending North and the EURO will hopefully.BRING ON THE SNOW!

Matthew East 12:31 PM  

There is some hope with a very strong clipper Sunday night into Monday as well. Clippers don't usually work out well east of the mountains, but if they are strong enough, they can....

Anonymous 2:27 PM  

Matt, how are the latest model trends? Are they coming farther north? Are they giving us a little more hope for Friday Night?

Anonymous 2:35 PM  

So are u sensing out snow next weekend and beyond the 18th and points after?? Also 12z GFS now has snow up here Friday night/Saturday. Also the GFS is is giving us quite a bit of snow Monday. We NEED MORE SNOW AND LOTS OF IT!!! So what you think now?? Chris

Anonymous 2:52 PM  

I am getting depressed with so much snow around us but none here.

Anonymous 6:27 PM  

Is Winter over for our area the GFS says it is after what ever alberta clipper come through and gives us Monday the 18z GFS is showing nonthing no kind of snow afterwards what is teh problem with this stupid GFS model going form major snows to light snows for us to nonthing than warm enough for rain???Chris

Gastonwxman 10:38 PM  

Well guys. Winter must definitely be over with. Some of the modeling showed a southern shift with the low, which is sadly in agreement with GFS. The one dang time a storm system could have trended north just like the others, it goes south!!!! Can't believe GFS was right sending that thing off of Florida. :(

Anonymous 11:11 PM  

Not trying to rub it in, but if yall down in CLT want to see some snow, just get north of Greensboro. My yard is still covered with a good 2-3". Yall can walk in it and sled in it all you want. I am pulling for Charlotte to get hammered before warm weather! I'm like yall; I could not care less how much it snows. I'll even take a crippling snowstorm or 3. Bring it on.

Matthew East 5:51 AM  

Yeah, it has been a nice winter for the Triad and points north and west. Many, many near misses for the southern Piedmont.

I think light snow could extend up toward Charlotte with this, and Wilmington and the Sandhills could see some light accumulations.

The clipper Monday definitely bears watching.

Anonymous 6:36 PM  

As I didn't see any Bufkit figures in this thread, I'll post a few. The ranges concern Bufkit's various algorithms. The figures are from the 2/11 18z run of the GFS model:

Charlotte: 3.5"-7.5"
Atlanta: 5.0"-6.9"
Birmingham: 3.5"-4.8"
Charleston: 1.2"-2.0"
Columbia: 5.2"-10.6"
Montgomery: 5.4"-11.8"
Wilmington: 3.8"-7.6"

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