Sunday morning....

Good morning! Quick post before church this morning.

No huge changes, and you can see the initial accumulation ideas I put out last night in the post below this one.

All seems to be unfolding about as you would anticipate to this point. I will put out a call map this afternoon. Looks like a good snow event for parts of Arkansas, about the north half of MS, northern AL along and north of I-20, much of Tennessee, northern Georgia, and into the Upstate of SC and parts of western and southwestern NC. I will say that back in the Tennessee Valley, some 8+" amounts appear a possibility. The amounts get trickier as you get into further north into NC.

I will say that the idea of the second disturbance diving in in time to rejuvenate precip again toward Tuesday morning in parts of NC has some merit. Of course, that could be in the form of ice for many.

As always with winter weather events around here, this is a tough nut to crack.

Keep an eye on the Gulf of Mexico convection....if that races out ahead of the rest of the precip, that will cut down on precip amounts farther north. You need that line of storms to lag behind the main precip area, at least a bit.

More this afternoon...