Thoughts on Saturday...
>> Thursday, January 17, 2008
Hopefully, things will get a little clearer if not with tonight's 0z model runs, then the 12z runs in the morning. However, the potential is there for someone in North Carolina and/or South Carolina to get a really nice snowfall.
This is an interesting set-up. By the way, if anyone knows of a case study of an event similar to this, I would love to see it.
I ran the 18z NAM and GFS through BUFKIT, and taken literally, the NAM printed out 6-10" of snow for Charlotte.....possibly beginning as a bit of rain but changing quickly to snow. The 18z NAM printed out 6-8" for Winston-Salem....precip essentially begins as snow.
The 18z GFS gave Charlotte 4-6" of snow while giving Winston-Salem 2-4".
I am not going to put out any accumulation predictions this evening. I simply don't have enough confidence in any one solution to do so at the moment. I want to review tonight's model data, and I will make a call after that.
But I will continue to say that someone in the Charlotte, Triad, or Triangle viewing areas could very well see a significant snowfall. The keys are obviously where and how much.
I am sorry I can't get more specific yet....it is just too tough to tell at the moment.
3 comments:
Hey Matthew
I was just looking at other news stations...unfortunately i dont have news14 on my tv, but i look at the site all the time..and i left Jeff a comment as well. Everybody seems to be thinking this is gonna be a larger and colder storm than forecasted earlier today. What are your thoughts on this. Also with the arctic air mass moving in is there a chance that air gets here before the storm? and if so how bad do you think the roads will be with this storm? I am worried bc my wife is supposed to work Sat night and well, im from the south and SNOW/ICE+Driving=a bad day ha Thanks -Joe
Definitely a colder system aloft, meaning mostly snow. I don't know where exactly you are from, but there certainly could be SOME travel problems as Saturday unfolds.
Thanks for reading!
It looks like we're backing off on this all together. Jeff is saying a rain/snow mix because the low is too far out to see to cause a snow event. NWS is saying 1-3 inches but the temp not getting lower than 36 during the event. That equals pretty much no accumulations in my mind. Maybe some pretty big flakes falling......
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