Tuesday morning...

At this juncture, everything still looks like a 'go' for a wintry weather threat Wednesday night into Thursday.

For the Charlotte region, I still think snow begins by daybreak Thursday, and could fall pretty heavily for a period. As the upper levels warm, many locations see the snow change over to a mix of precip.

I am concerned about some icing potential, especially from Charlotte westward. If the in-situ wedge is a tad colder than currently indicated, then there would be potential for some decent icing.

In terms of precip amounts, the NAM is a lot heavier than the GFS. The Canadian is also on the heavier side. And, I also should point out the Canadian is indicating a significant winter storm from just west of Charlotte on westward.

So, basically, I contiue to grow more confident of a winter event for us here in the area. I still think the heaviest accumulations will occur the farther west you live in the area. And by the way, my thoughs are basically the same for the Triad, just delayed a couple of hours.

I think there is a good possibility the morning commute Thursday morning could be a mess, mainly in the southern Piedmont with travel problems spreading northward as Thursday morning unfolds.

I will try to post some more information sometime by this evening. Today is my off day, and I need to spend some time with my family instead of staring at this computer like I have all morning! Weather is not just my job, it is my hobby and passion, and times like these tend to absorb my attention!