System finally pulling in...
>> Tuesday, January 25, 2011
Take a look at today's video, docked below. I take a look at our incoming system and the week ahead...
It seems I have been talking about this system forever. It is finally arriving today, and rain, which began the day covering much of the Deep South and Tennessee Valley, will spread into the Carolinas as today unfolds. The man surface low will track from near the Gulf coast to just inland from the Carolina coast later tomorrow.
Periods of rain will occur across the Piedmont tonight into tomorrow morning. Total rain amounts are looking a little disappointing in some areas, but hopefully at least some folks will get a good soaking out of this....we could use it.
The upper level low (ULL), which is sitting over Texas this morning, will strengthen as it moves though Mississippi into Alabama and the Carolinas. There has been a little northward shift in the track of this ULL, and it is looking like the strip of pretty good accumulating snow is going to wind up being in the northern half of the outlined area I posted yesterday afternoon. Below is the snow map I am going with this morning.
Really anybody in the Piedmont is fair game to see some wet snowflakes as tomorrow unfolds, but the strip of significant accumulation potential will run from north MS and western TN east-northeast through Tennessee and into parts of KY the Virginias. I would include northwest NC in this area as well....mainly the northwest mountains and possibly parts of the northernmost foothills.
These outlines are general, and there may be further shifting needed as we see where the band of heavier precip actually sets up.
The weather looks pretty quiet then for the rest of the week into the weekend. Another system will swing through Friday, but it looks fairly insignificant as of now. The weekend is actually looking pretty nice.....maybe some 50s for highs.
There is still the chance of a storm system early next week, and February still looks cold as it gets going. I will delve more into that in the videos and discussions later this week.
5 comments:
What about Person County Matt? Are we getting any snow accumulation?
Matt the NAM model still giving right along the VA border what appears to me 2-5 inches including Person County and ratios appear to get rather high as well what do you think? Chris
I'm no met, but I'm thinking we should be paying more attention to the RUC at this point, and less attention to the NAM/GFS/etc.
The RUC has the ULL passing even further N and W. I think we're out of luck pretty much anywhere in NC outside of the mountains, at this point.
I'll definitely defer to Matt's opinion on this though.
Matt, since this looks like rain, what are your thoughts on next week?
~Brandon
Brandon...will spend more time on next week in the morning.
Yeah, the BA border county region is still in the game for the deform band to clip through there, but the best snows will likely be north. But the northern most NC counties could certainly pick up a slushy accumulation....and the mountains will get a pretty good hit.
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