Saturday Morning....

Good morning! Wanted to put up a quick post about what remains a pretty low-confidence forecast.

It looks like a good portion of the region will see at least light precip move through at some point today. The total amounts of precip with this one look pretty low overall until you get down into central and eastern SC and eastern and SE NC.

For the Charlotte area, looks like I am just going to have to go with the wording of a light wintry mix today....the mix being rain, sleet, and snow. A lot of the precip types will depend on precip rates. Temps are tricky....the area is in the 30s now, and I question exactly how much warming can take place.

This evening, there could be a final push of some light to moderate snow pivot through the region, and I suppose some places could pick up some minor accumulations.

For the Triad, same general idea, although there might be less rain in the equation. There is a little better chance of picking up some small accumulations in this area, especially as we head into later this afternoon/ evening.

The winter weather advisory for the Triangle put out by the Raleigh NWS is probably placed well. I still suppose the Triangle area has the highest potential of picking up some accumulations with this.

Also note there is the potential for a short-fused winter weather advisory to be popped out about anywhere around the region as we see how the precip shield will develop.

**Just laying the cards all out on the table here....this is about as low a confidence forecast as I have put out in recent memory. I have very little confidence on where the heaviest precip areas will set up, not to mention what the exact thermal profile will be. When you are dealing with a degree or so difference at 3,000 to 5,000 feet in elevation determining precip types, and in situations like these, the rate of precip plays a big role, saying it is a challenge is an understatement. But I guess that is what makes it fun. This system has been a booger from the word 'go.'

With all of that said, this is not a huge winter storm, and many people will not see any type of accumulation at all. But it sure is fun to watch.