Friday afternoon...
>> Friday, December 17, 2010
The 12z models have not shown any more amplification with the weekend system....in fact, some show less.
I will continue with the same ideas I had on air this morning. Please see the map in the previous post below. The best chance of seeing some flakes lies between I-85 and I-95 starting northeast of Charlotte, and the best chance of seeing accumulations is from around the Triangle up into southeastern VA.
It just appears the system will not amplify enough to spread precip back into the foothills or much of the western Piedmont.
Again, see the map below for the best zone of seeing a few flakes tomorrow evening.
Standard disclaimer....there is always the chance of a last-minute northwest trend. However, I saw no indication of that as of the 12z models.
**The 18z NAM has come in with a more amplified system and QPF pulled farther west. Then again, it is the 18z NAM. We will see what 0z holds tonight.**
13 comments:
Hi Matthew I see that the GFS show the Heavy Snow near Charlotte http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble/members/12zf036.html
No snow for Charlotte. VA Yes. Extreme NE NC Yes
also the NAM now show the Heavy snow near Charlotte http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/18/images/nam_ref_030l.gif
Sportsguyshow is Winterfan, lol. Thanks Matthew for the update. Guess its back to life as usual for Charlotte.
The 18z NAM has come in with a more amplified system and QPF pulled farther west. Then again, it is the 18z NAM. We will see what 0z holds tonight.
Nothing should be discounted at this point.
I don't know, wasn't the 18Z yesterday the first to say no dice to the EUROs snowstorm a couple days ago? Maybe 18Z may be on to something. It would just be hilarious if all of a sudden mets are scrambling the day before a accumulating snow in Charlotte. I really want to see that. The mass invasions of the bread/milk sections, the TV mets screaming snow death 2010 (except News14 of course). I guess we can call it a social experiment with snow!! Ah, oh well, I digress.
Brad
Would be interesting for the models to do a 180 one day from the event.
The other interesting thing today.. the temps. It never hit freezing last night, and we are mid 50's today. Heat wave!
The 18z looks impressive for snow. Hmmm.
Ryan1234
weather maps from Global Forecast System
http://www.theweatherland.com/
precip. developing into alabama is what I'm watching for potential western NC snow. What's your thoughts Matthew?
Take a gander at this!:
http://proa.accuweather.com/gradsimage4/sref/sref-tmpprs-500-conus-30-C-snows2f.png
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