Kevin's discussion....

Today will bring increasing cloudiness out ahead of a weakening front and we may see a few light showers through the overnight hours. For Thursday a low pressure system will develop and move northeastward bringing us a soaking rain through mid-day into the afternoon hours. A wedge will be in place limiting temperatures from rising out of the 30's. There is no winter weather concern with this system in the triad area but as you move west into the mountains the atmospheric profiles do look favorable for a nice freezing rain event with accumulations of up to an inch of ice isn't out of the realm of possibility. This looks similar to the ice storm the mountains received during Christmas. The next rain event will move into the area Sunday afternoon into Monday morning. A low pressure system will move across the mid-west and will intensify as it encounters a strong jet streak with higher vorticity being wrapped into the system. Many locations may see rainfall totals in excess of 2". There will be relatively mild temperatures Sunday and Monday due to warm air advection out ahead of the storm system, expect highs in the lower to mid 50's. Looking forward to the end of January and the beginning of February temperatures are trending colder with lows dipping back down into the 20's and highs in the 40's.

Kevin Smith
kbsmith@uncc.edu