>> Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Back to a normal schedule today, so above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video.

We are undergoing a pattern change from one that features a big west coast ridge and east coast trough to a split flow pattern. We are entering a pattern where the computer models are notorious for struggling, even more so than normal.

The general idea is cold today and tonight with moderation kicking in for a couple of days tomorrow and Friday. Highs today will only be in the upper 30s in many spots, with lows tonight in the upper teens to lower 20s.

However, we will see mid to upper 40s to even some lower 50s tomorrow and then 50s everywhere Friday. In fact, some spots could hit 60 Friday afternoon.

Then, the forecast confidence crashes. Generally speaking, I expect a cold front to move through Friday night into Saturday. That front will then stall out somewhere over the Southeast and generally hang out there somewhere in the region into next week.

Occasionally, disturbances will ride along that front and bring precip chances, but timing those out will be very challenging. If that front stays to our south, we could have some run-ins with wintry precip. However, if that front lifts back to our north, the precip would be rain.

See the video for some more details....

Again, I want to give a big thank you to everyone for checking out my blog and video. And a big thank you to everyone who watches us on News 14 Carolina and for all who sent us in pictures and reports. Best I can tell, we received somewhere between 1000 and 1500 emails yesterday, and we appreciate each and every one of them. Thank you!

And, it looks like the Charlotte Airport officially recorded a trace of snowfall yesterday. So that means we have a winner in our little snow contest from back at the end of December! I will look back at all of the forecasts and see who that winner is today or tomorrow.


Anonymous 1:13 PM  

hey matthew,

just wondering...does the storm for next week look to have the potential to be a big ice storm for the model runs are looking that way to me...just wanted to know your thoughts so far thanks

Matthew East 1:16 PM  

Hi there...At this point, I do think ice is the main thing to look at for Sunday into next week. Right now, this looks like the type of deal where several pieces of energy shoot out from the main trough out west, each bringing the chance of light to possibly moderate precip.

So, I would tend to envision multiple, somewhat smaller scale events right now as opposed to one big event right now. But lots can change.

Anonymous 1:19 PM  

yeah i saw that i saw the euro also with several small storms and then a bigger more potent one towards the end of next week...unfortunatley it appears to be ice id rather have snow but you know...ill take a cold rain over ice any day lol *sigh* looks like ice this time around though unless things change

Iceman 2:03 PM  

Hopefully it will change to snow.

Anonymous 7:57 PM  

I prefer ice to nothing. ;)

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