Tropics...

First of all, we had a great time on vacation. It was absolutely wonderful....really nice to unplug, spend time with my family, and relax. I will try to get the pictures uploaded and share some of them with you in the coming days.

Now, on to the tropics. There are two tropical waves out in the Atlantic Ocean. It is interesting to note that most modeling develops one or both of these waves. What is even more interesting is that it looks like the overall upper air pattern in the Atlantic is one that could leave the U.S. East coast open to potential trouble. The 6z and 12z GFS as well as the 12z European bring a well-developed tropical system to the Carolina coast around the 20th of August (see below).

Now, this is still out in fantasy-land, but I think the overall idea of tropical development with those waves is a good one, and I think the idea of the U.S. East coast being open to potential trouble (especially if it is the second tropical wave the develops) has merit. Something to watch in the coming days....