Soaking rains tomorrow....colder to end the week...

Here's today's edition of the video....lots to talk about....give it a look.



It's a foggy start to our Tuesday out there with temps in the 40s. The fog will erode with time this morning, giving way to a partly sunny to mostly cloudy afternoon sky with highs in the upper 50s and lower 60s.

The big upper low in Texas continues to slowly move our way, and we will see rain arrive as soon as later tonight.

Tomorrow will be a day featuring soaking rains, and a few rumbles of thunder are also possible. At this point, I expect most of the severe weather threat to remain confined to areas from roughly I-95 to the coast. But we will watch it.

Thursday will be mild, but then it turns much colder for Friday and the weekend with 40s back in place for highs.

Longer range...

No real changes to my thoughts here. We will see the coldest air in the hemisphere make it into northern North America next week. At this point, I am still leaning in the direction of the idea that most of the sustained cold largely stays across the northern US. However, with the cold air anchored so close by, I fully expect arctic blasts from time to time into the Southeast.

If the temp battleground stays close to the region, that would likely mean the storm track also stays close. So, I still think you could have far worse looks overall for snow fans.

The overall weather pattern though features tons of questions, so I have to reserve the right to amend or trash ideas as necessary.

The models will continue to struggle. Just like several runs of the GFS yesterday had a Southeast winter storm, only for it to vanish on the 0z run today. Very, very challenging pattern.

Please see the video for several graphics that demonstrate what I am talking about.