Dreary Monday weather...big mid-week system...

>> Monday, January 09, 2012

Please take a few minutes and look at today's edition of the video, docked below. I spend a good deal of time not only looking at this week's weather, but I talk at length about the possibilities of where this overall pattern is heading.



A cold air damming scenario is in play today with clouds and occasional showers and drizzle. Piedmont and foothills highs will range from the mid 40s to mid 50s.

We will squeeze in a nice day tomorrow ahead of our mid-week system with lots of sun and highs in the upper 50s and lower 60s.

Wednesday will be a wet day with generous rain amounts across the region. A warm front will nose into the region from the south, and areas near and south of that front will have a chance of a strong or severe storms Wednesday afternoon and evening. At this point, I think the best severe chances will stay south of roughly I-40.

A blast of cold air will arrive for Friday through the weekend with a lot of our highs and lows returning to below average levels.

Long-term....

Quite a complex forecast in the long-term. A big ridge will develop up to Alaska late this week into early next week, and that, combined with some ridging in Europe, will send the coldest air in the hemisphere into Canada. That means some bitterly cold air will be available, close-by.

Will the cold air remain bottled up to our north? Possibly. However, I this it is more likely that we will see a pattern through the second half of January where we will have shots of cold air, and as strong high pressure areas move from the northern Plains into the Northeast, we could have some cold air damming scenarios.

For snow fans, you don't want cold and dry air to just overwhelm the pattern, so the look of where I think we are heading is not bad.

Please see the video for more.... it's easier to show you than type out.

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