Irene Update: Midday Tuesday

Well as expected the National Hurricane center has shifted the forecast to the east. They are not going to move as quickly in respect to changes in model runs . . .but this is certainly a positive indication. Here is their latest forecast . . .

After checking the latest 12z morning model runs . . . I'm growing more optimistic that we could avoid a US landfall altogether with this storm. Again we still have several days to go, but this could end up being a storm that approaches the US but recurves into the Atlantic just in time. Of course more updates will follow over the next few days.

One item of note . . . the US has not seen a hurricane landfall since 2008 when Ike rolled into Texas. You have to figure that streak will end at some point soon . . . but hopefully not with Irene.