Severe thoughts...

>> Monday, February 28, 2011

Be sure and scroll down to the post below this one for today's Carolina Weather Video. I cover lots of ground on there....and spend a majority of the time on today's storm system.

Near record warmth will again be with us across the region today. Look for Piedmont highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s and winds gusting out of the southwest to 35+mph.

This is setting the state for the arrival of our next storm system. The new Day 2 outlook is out, and there weren't any really huge changes. The Carolinas remain largely in the 'slight risk' area, with a 'moderate risk' in the Tennessee Valley in the western tip of NC. Tornado watches stretch from north and central MS to Ohio and southwest PA as of 8:30am.

For the Piedmont of the Carolinas, I expect showers and storms to develop in later this afternoon and exit to the east later this evening. I expect the line of storms to make it into the northern foothills by mid-afternoon and near the Triad by mid-late afternoon.

For the Charlotte area, the arrival will likely be from late afternoon into early evening.

Wind damage will be the primary threat, but a few isolated tornadoes can't be ruled out. I only expect dewpoints to make it into the 50s today, so not a ton of instability. However, I think there will be enough for at least some severe weather.

Here is the Day 2 severe weather outlook....

And here are the wind probabilities....


Gastonwxman 1:50 PM  
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