Monday Morning...

Fay took a more northerly jog overnight and has already crossed Cuba. I am getting that sinking feeling that we might miss out on a lot of the rain from this system. First of all, we will have to be on the right side of the system to get any good rain. This jog to the east of the forecast track doesn't make me feel good. Secondly, a lot of modeling is now stalling Fay's remnants out off to our south. That would not be great either.

I and I will also add that the possibility (that had been discussed here earlier) of a second landfall on the Atlantic coast is gaining some life this morning. If this crosses Florida and gets back out over the water off of Daytona or Jacksonville, then obviously a threat would be alive for the Carolinas coast. S0, those with beach plans....pay attention to Fay!

And, don't look now, but out next tropical wave out in the Atlantic is trying to get its act together, and we will probably be talking about another tropical system in the southwest Atlantic by this weekend. See the model plots down a bit in the right-hand column....it is Invest 94L.

Take this with a grain of salt...these are my pre-coffee ramblings after a lengthy work week.....