Lots on our weather plate this evening...

First of all...wow. It was a hot one Saturday. Here are some highs tabulated so far from around the viewing area...

Gastonia: 98
Albemarle: 95
Charlotte airport: 94
Shelby: 93
Monroe: 93
Concord: 91

There are some showers and storms firing over eastern Kentucky and Tennessee as I am typing this, and they are moving southeastward along a stationary front. With that frontal boundary right over head, a few storms are possible tonight, but I really think most of those storms will die off later this evening with the loss of daytime heating.

As I mentioned earlier, the SPC does have the viewing area outlined in a slight risk for severe weather Sunday. We will see an area of low pressure ride along that stationary front and give us the chance for some mainly afternoon showers and storms. I think there is some risk for severe, but it looks like the storms tomorrow will be of the "pulse" variety; meaning the storms quickly pulse up and down in intensity. So, some hail and gusty winds look possible, but I don't think we are looking at a major severe weather outbreak.

And of course, we are watching Tropical Depression 1. It is pretty disorganized this evening with most of the showers and storms off to the east of the ragged center of circulation.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn.jpg

However, the NHC still forecasts this thing to become Tropical Stoam Alberto sometime tonight or tomorrow. That is certainly possible, but it does look ragged at the moment. However, it doesn't take much organization for these systems to strengthen from depressions to tropical storms.

As for the track, I still very much like the idea of a northern Florida landfall, then up relativelly close to the Atlantic coast. Timing is still a question, but almost all models are going with this scenario now.

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_90.gif

There is the chance that the system could ride close enough to the Atlantic coast to give coastal sections of the Carolinas some rainy and breezy conditions sometime between later Monday and Wednesday, depending on timing.

Time to keep plugging with my on-air block.....