Mild to start the holiday week....

Highs today and tomorrow will top 70 degrees again in many spots in the region. Like we say over the weekend, we will have a good deal of clouds most of the time through tomorrow, but there will be some peeks of sun at times. Although the main corridor of rain through tomorrow stays west of the mountains, we will have a few showers drift through from time to time.

The next system swings in early Wednesday, so I expect a healthy round of showers and some storms later Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. While I can't rule out severe weather, instability looks to be a little too lacking for a major outbreak. But we will watch it closely.

The weather will then be fantastic for Thanksgiving and the big shopping day Friday with lots of sun and cooler temps.

Weekend forecast woes....

Wow, extremely challenging forecast. Most models had been indicating the next trough splits as it moved into the central US, resulting in a big closed low over the Lower Mississippi Valley that then meanders to the Carolinas by around Monday. The GFS and Canadian are still on board with that scenario, but the 0z Euro broke continuity and makes the northern branch dominant, resulting basically in a dry frontal passage for most in the region. See the video for more...