Showers, a few storms possible

>> Tuesday, November 16, 2010



An area of low pressure will lift from Mississippi this morning to Ohio this evening. We will be on the warm side of the system, so our region will continue to have showers roll through from time to time today.


A few storms are possible this afternoon into early evening, and enough dynamics are in place that a few storms could produce some wind damage or a brief tornado. The only ingredient lacking is instability, so this is something we will watch through the day.

We return to dry, quiet weather tomorrow with sunshine and highs in the 60s. Another weak system will swing through Thursday, but it will not have enough moisture to work with to produce significant rain chances.

Weekend...

Another great weather weekend is on tap. Look for sunshine and highs in the 60 both days...lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s.

Thanksgiving week...

Thanksgiving week will begin with some warm afternoon temps...probably some lower 70s for highs on a couple of days. However, very cold air has taken up residence in Canada, and that cold air will bleed into the northern US in time.

At some point, the pattern will likely buckle and send that cold air into our region. The window of possibility for that to occur will likely open right around Thanksgiving.

8 comments:

Anonymous 5:52 AM  

Yea Matthew that very last frame on the GFS would be awesome but, Ive learned the hard way that some times is not safe to go past 5 days in the weather world. Oh well keep us updated.

-Nic

Jonathan (Hickory, NC) 6:27 AM  

I love it! If only we could go ahead and book our reservations for that December 1st event! =)

I'm heading to Michigan for Thanksgiving week, and it looks like I'll have a good chance to see snow in the Grand Rapids area that week. Maybe that will tide me over until we get into some real cold weather down here.

Matthew East 6:50 AM  

NOh yeah, that was in the 'just for fun' category...

Yeah, maybe you can get your appetite for cold going up that way!

Jonathan (Hickory, NC) 2:23 PM  

Hey, that little bit of fun is still on the end of the 12Z run of the GFS today too.

Anonymous 4:29 PM  

The 24-27 wintry precip has been showin up on and off for a while...what do u think matthew...just a guess as of now..we won't hold u to it..just some meteorological expertise :)

Anonymous 9:46 PM  

Matt,
Looks like possibility for colder weather is building up for Thanksgiving week, but how about any snow chances? Do you foresee any snow chance as we head into 2nd half of November?

TY

Matthew East 5:41 AM  

It is always tough to get any decent snow before December, so I would say it is unlikely. However, I have no changes on my thinking regarding the potential cold later this month.

It does look like the storm track will try to be fairly active once the cold settles in, so we might have some fun and games at some point as we near early December.

johnson 10:57 PM  

I love it! If only we could go ahead and book our reservations for that December 1st event! =)

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