Wintry Possibilities Ahead

I don't have a lot of time right now....posting while the kids are finishing up their afternoon nap. But, I see a couple of potentail winter weather possibilities ahead for North Carolina.

First of all, I still think that Thursday into Thursday night could bring some wintry weather into the state. Granted, it looks like any precip that falls with this system will be rather light, but it could be a situation that many spots get a quick shot at some snow before changing over to some sleet or freezing rain. We will keep evaulating this one. But again, I don't expect anything major at this point due to the light nature of the precip. Stay tuned...

A second, more substantial system will move through late in the weekend into early next week. The 12z European run today sure looks like a fairly major hit of snow and ice for the Carolinas. Keep in mind, we are not talking about some system 10 days away anymore....this is 5-7 days from now! The GFS does also have this system, and taken at face value (the 12z run), it shows a relatively quick hit of wintry weather before a likely changeover to rain for much of the area. The European keeps an area of high pressure in a very favorable position for cold air damming (CAD) in the Carolinas, and that is why it shows a much mire significant hit of wintry weather for us.

Lots will change with that second system, and a big key for us will likely be keeping the high pressure in a favorable position for CAD. If we lose the CAD, we probably lose the wintry weather potential.

There are certainly lots of issues to resolve, but at least winter weather lovers around here have something to keep an eye on at the moment!