Cool and quiet today & tomorrow... big rain event Saturday night-Sunday...
>> Friday, December 27, 2013
As the title indicates, quiet weather will stick around between now and early Saturday evening for the Carolinas. Then, an area of low pressure, currently forming in the Gulf of Mexico, will lift northeast and move right overhead Sunday morning.
The result will be a big, soaking rain event beginning Saturday night and extending through Sunday morning. Depending on the exact track of the low, some thunderstorms, and maybe a bit of severe weather, could be involved near the coast Sunday.
However, for areas near and northwest of I-85, highs Sunday will only be in the 40s with no threat of severe weather.
I take a look at the longer range as well in today's video:
3 comments:
Hey Matt,
As you know the GFS had been showing a low pressure tracking offshore January 3rd and 4th with snow for much of the Carolina's. Now, it has an inland low to the Lakes. If the pikar vortex dies move far south into Canada and the NAO does go briefly negative, doesn't that mean the low would struggle to go inland due to the density of the cold air, encouraging a more offshore track?
-Brandon
Hey Matt,
As you know the GFS had been showing a low pressure tracking offshore January 3rd and 4th with snow for much of the Carolina's. Now, it has an inland low to the Lakes. If the pikar vortex dies move far south into Canada and the NAO does go briefly negative, doesn't that mean the low would struggle to go inland due to the density of the cold air, encouraging a more offshore track?
-Brandon
A negative NAO does indeed favor a track that is more suppressed with storm systems. However, there really isn't a strong -NAO in place for this storm system, so it is free to cut more northward it would appear.
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