Shower chances arriving...

Take a look at today's edition of the video....



We will have some showers spread into the region as we head into this afternoon and tonight as a slow-moving cold front crawls into the region. Rain amounts do not look terribly impressive with this system.....the upper end is probably around 0.5," and that's probably generous for most.

Some sun will return by tomorrow afternoon, and then Friday is quiet and slightly cooler before our weekend system begins to arrive.

It still looks cooler this weekend, but the cold air damming does not look as pronounced as it did earlier in the week. So, probably 50s for a lot of us this weekend. Rain will arrive later Saturday and continue into portions of Sunday.

The GFS dries us out for Monday, while the European model is slower with the entire system overall, so some rain could definitely extend into portions of Monday.

Next week....

I don't have a lot of confidence in how the second half of next week will unfold. There looks to be the chance of a Gulf of Mexico low pressure or two during this time frame, but I just don't know yet whether they will get suppressed to our south or whether or not they impact the region. If they do spread precip in, it could very well be too warm for most to see anything but rain. Just don't know yet.

As I discussed in the video today, since the GFS could very well be wrong in its handling of the features Sunday-Monday, it doesn't give me a lot of confidence that it is right later next week.

Longer term, the European model breaks down the western North American ridging mid-month, while the GFS and its ensembles on the 0z run today generally keep the ridge in place.