Quiet start to December...complex forecast next week...
>> Thursday, December 01, 2011
Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video....give it a look.
The weather will remain very quiet around here through the weekend. Highs today will be in the 50s with highs up around 60s or so tomorrow. For the weekend, it looks like mainly 50s for highs. Morning lows will remain chilly....well down into the 30s, with some spots dipping into the upper 20s.
Next week....
The models are all over the place in their handling of storm systems next week. See the video for the graphics on this. The Canadian swings some northern branch energy through by Monday night, pushing a cold front through along with rain chances. The GFS is slower and keeps energy in the Southwest combined with northern branch energy. It swings the best rain chances through Monday night and Tuesday. The European model is the slowest of all in bring the rain through Wednesday.
I am going with a compromise approach this morning, indicating the best rain chances Monday night into Tuesday. However, that might have to be adjusted.
For some ideas on the longer range, see the video...
2 comments:
Hi Matt,
Yesterday I heard other mets saying that due to the uncertainty of the "Blocking High" over Greenland this winter, the overall winter may end up being milder than originally anticipated, even though the anticipated La Nina pattern should make winter milder anyways. Out of curiosity, wondering what your thoughts on them? Thanks, TY
TY.... Yes, if we can not get the NAO to go negative (which results from blocking near Greenland), then the forecasts of a cold Winter in the East are in trouble. There are no signs of it wanting to head into negative territory and stay there at the moment, but my feeling is we will see that at some point. But if we don't, then yes....milder than anticipated.
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