Back to storm chances...

After a nice break from the humidity over the weekend (especially Saturday), we are back into the warm, muggy conditions today. The result will be scattered showers and storms, especially this afternoon and evening. Some storms could be severe, and the biggest threat today will be from damaging winds.

A cold front will approach tomorrow, and I anticipate a pretty good coverage of showers and storms by tomorrow afternoon.

That cold front is the leading edge of another push of drier air that will settle into the region by Wednesday. For much of the Piedmont, Wednesday through Saturday are looking dry with warm to hot afternoons and fairly pleasant overnight conditions. A few PM storms look to return for Sunday and the Fourth.

Tropics...

As I mentioned last week, some modeling continues to show development over the southern Gulf of Mexico over the next couple of days. If anything does develop, the biggest threat would likely be from inland flooding over the mountainous terrain of Mexico.