Fall has arrived....but summertime temps for a couple of days

Fall officially arrived late Wednesday evening, but summertime temps will persist for a couple more days. Today will be quite hot by late September standards with Piedmont highs in the low to mid 90s. It will remain hot tomorrow as well, although the overall highs will likely be a degree or two 'cooler' than today. Look for lots of sun today and tomorrow as well.

Big pattern change...

A major shift in the upper air pattern across North America is set to occur as we head through this weekend. For our region, we will see a cold front drop in Saturday. Saturday will still be quite warm with highs in the upper 80s to maybe some lower 90s, but the cooler air will build in thereafter.

A cold air damming scenario will set up Sunday into Monday and maybe Tuesday of next week. Sunday will likely feature a good deal of clouds and the chance of some showers and storms. How quickly the moisture begins to overrun the wedge will determine how warm we get Sunday, but overall, I am thinking some 70s for highs.

Monday looks like a wet day with highs in some spots possibly struggling to reach the low to mid 70s. I will maintain good chance of showers and maybe some storms Tuesday.

Beyond that point, it all depends on the tropics.

Tropics...

Lisa is a weak system....tropical depression as of now. Lisa will likely remain in the eastern or central Atlantic a generally be a non-factor for land.

The disturbance in the Caribbean is still disorganized this morning. However, most modeling continues to insist that this will develop into an organized system in time. If a classified system does develop, it stands a good chance of getting drawn northward into the Southeast later next week. Even is the system never does develop, the tropical moisture from that area will likely still get pulled northward into the Southeast next week, enhancing our rain opportunities.