Warmth continues...
>> Tuesday, February 10, 2009
Above is the Tuesday edition of the Carolina Weather Video. Lots o' good stuff in there today...
Our string of great weather day is continuing today with highs in the lower 70s across the Piedmont...and we will see lower 70s again tomorrow.
A cold front will swing through tomorrow evening. Some showers and storms could spread into the mountains tomorrow afternoon, but I think the rain chances hold off until tomorrow evening here in the Piedmont. A few storms could be on the strong side with damaging winds being the primary concern...we will watch that closely.
After that, we will trend back toward a colder and stormier weather pattern. The southern branch of the jet stream will be very active for at least the next week to 10 days, bringing us storm systems every few days. How far south those storm systems track will determine whether or not we have any wintry weather potential.
The first system will move through Valentine's Day....but I think all precip Saturday will be of the rain variety.
The next system will then likely move through around next Tuesday. Yesterday's 12z Euro and today's 0z and 6z GFS indicate wintry weather in the Carolinas with that one. The reason? Large scale features that keep the system on a southerly track.
This one bears watching. In edition to the possibility of a southern track, there looks to be pretty good potential for some cold air damming as the system arrives.
WAY too early to get excited over this. In fact, I did not mention any wintry precip on the air today...I am just giving you a look 'behind the curtain' so to speak...see some of the things I am weighing in the forecast ahead. If a trend develops in this system, it will probably be a northerly one. So, like I said, don't get excited yet snow lovers....LONG way to go and lots will probably change.
4 comments:
Matthew,
Well the GFS and DGEX show a GOOD OLE SNOWSTORM NEXT WEEK.....but we will see if it happens
as the old saying goes.. I AIN'T HOLDING MY BREATH...
BUT WHO KNOWS CRAZIER THINGS HAVE HAPPENED.
Thanks for the behind the scenes Matt! Can I call you Mr. Wizard (behind the curtain)? It seems like everything, especially on the GFS, has trended north and west over time. The GFS needs an alignment, like my car.
Here's hoping that sucker stays Sweet and LOW! Mmmm, artificial sweetener.....
Brad
Gerald, yep sure looks appetizing. Long way off though.
Brad, my official title from here out shall be Mr. Wizard.
Yep, GFS is knows to have a S and E bias....however, there is somewhat of an agreement on the Euro though.
Wouldn't get to excited yet, but I wouldn't write it off either.
I think good 'ole winter is coming back next week - maybe with snow?
- TK
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