Super Tuesday Tornado Outbreak....

Very quiet weather for the Carolinas through the weekend. Highs in the Piedmont will be in the upper 50s to possibly lower 60s with lows mainly in the 30s.

The details with our next storm system are up in the air, but I am mentioning rain chances in the forecast Tuesday night and especially Wednesday.

Information continues to roll in regarding the tragic Super Tuesday Tornado Outbreak. Here is an amazing story about an 11 month old boy.

Here is a radar loop from the Nashville NWS of the event...

Lawrence County Alabama tornado radar loop...

Here is some great information compiled by the National Weather Service....

Info from the Birmingham NWS

Info from the Memphis NWS

Info from the Huntsville NWS

Info from the Little Rock NWS

Info from the Nashville NWS

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Cool and Quiet

Those are the weather words the next few days. Actually, it will be fairly comfortable in the afternoon and somewhat cold at night, but you get the idea. Lots of sunshine will abound.

Not much time this morning, so no video today. However, I will post a more detailed discussion later this afternoon or evening.

My latest Skier's Outlook is up on SkiNC and SkiSoutheast this morning. In short...the weekend looks great...

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Cool and Quiet

Those are the weather words the next few days. Actually, it will be fairly comfortable in the afternoon and somewhat cold at night, but you get the idea. Lots of sunshine will abound.

Not much time this morning, so no video today. However, I will post a more detailed discussion later this afternoon or evening....

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Evening wrap-up....

The showers and storms that raced well out ahead of the cold front and into our area early this afternoon effectively ended any severe weather chances in the western Piedmont. I don't think many folks are complaining.

Looks like that early afternoon activity was driven eastward by outflow boundaries from earlier intense storms over Tennessee and Alabama. Had that activity hung back in the mountains, our atmosphere would probably have been unstable enough for severe weather when the dynamics arrived at mid to late afternoon.

Like I said though...no complaints with the lack of severe weather...would have liked to see more in the way of rain though.

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3pm Update...

The pre-frontal band of showers and thunderstorms has not allowed much instability to build in the Triad or Charlotte viewing regions. A few storms went severe over northeastern Tennessee over the past couple of hours, but they have since weakened.

The cold front, and the best shear just ahead of it, will move through later this afternoon into early evening.

With instability lacking, I don't expect any huge problems with severe weather. However, there could be a couple of strong to severe storms.

Tragically, the death toll continues to rise with last night's severe weather outbreak. My prayers are with all of those affected.

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11:30am Update...

Showers and some storms, well out ahead of the cold front, have advanced into portions of the foothills. As expected, the storms have greatly weakened, as as I am typing this, no watches or warnings are in effect for the region.

The showers and storms advancing well out ahead of the front might serve to limit severe weather potential in the Charlotte and Triad region...we shall see.

However, the atmosphere is becoming more unstable with time. Generally speaking, locations east of I-85 have warmed into the low to mid 70s, and dewpoints in the lower 60s are trying to creep northward from South Carolina.

We will continue to monitor radar trends this afternoon and evening.

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Wednesday Morning...

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All eyes are on our severe weather possibilities today. Please see this morning's video for lots of information.

With the thickness values we have in place, it will only take some peeks of sunshine to pop our temperatures up into the low 70s today. And based on the satellite images (I am doing this update prior to daybreak), I think we will see that. Dewpoints are in the 50s, and they should gradually climb today. If we can get dewpoints into the lower 60s and temperatures into the lower 70s, then severe weather will likely be a problem. The Storm Prediction Center has places all of the Carolinas in a 'slight' risk for severe weather today.

The main time-frame for this event looks to be this afternoon, possibly into early evening. Damaging winds will likely be the biggest concern, but isolated tornadoes will be possible if we do indeed see a little sun this morning. Some small hail also looks possible.

I will be on the air on News 14 Carolina this afternoon for the Charlotte and Triad regions. Have a reliable way of hearing weather watches and warnings today if you are away from the TV, and keep it tuned to News 14 Carolina for all of the very latest weather information.

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Midsouth Severe Weather...

A major tornado outbreak is occurring in parts of Arkansas, Tennessee, Mississippi, and some surrounding areas. Numerous tornadoes have touched down, and some of the intial damage reports sound bad. Thoughts and prayers are will all of those affected.

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Severe Weather Possibilities...

Today will be a warm and dry one here in the Piedmont with highs up into the lower 70s.

Meanwhile, a significant outbreak of severe weather looks likely off to our west in parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, Arkansas, Tennessee, Alabama, and Kentucky today and tonight. In fact, as I am typing this, the SPC has put out a 'high' risk of severe weather over parts of Arkansas and northwest Misssissippi, including the Memphis area of Tennessee. Tornadoes will be a big threat in those areas this afternoon and tonight, and there will probably be a good bit of damaging wind as well.

The timing of the storm system for our area continues to gradually slow down, and I now think we will see most of our shower and thunderstorm activity tomorrow during the afternoon hours. That will mean our atmosphere has more time to become unstable, and therefore, I am concerned about severe weather potential. The SPC has all of the Carolinas in a 'slight' risk area for severe weather tomorrow.

It looks like damaging winds will be the main threat, but a few isolated tornadoes will be possible as well. Keep it tuned to News 14 Carolina for all of your weather information.

Please see the video for lots of good information.

I also need to note that is looks like we will see a big blast of colder air in here Sunday and Monday of next week...we will talk about that more with time.

That's it for now. I am off today, but I might post some more information if time allows this evening. And I will definitely have more information about our severe weather potential as we get into tomorrow. Stay tuned!

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Monday Bullet-Points

• Some showers possible today as a warm front lifts through our area.
  
• Tomorrow will be very warm and dry...highs easily into the 70s around the region.
• Modeling is continuing to slow down the timing of our next storm system. It now looks like our mid-week system will move through during the day Wednesday.
  
• Rain and storms are a good bet Wednesday, and we will have to watch for severe weather issues as Wednesday unfolds. Off to our west, this has the makings of a significant severe weather outbreak over Mississippi, Alabama, Tennessee and Kentucky as we go through tomorrow and tomorrow night. We will then see how the storms hold together as they approach the Carolinas.

Everyone have a wonderful Monday. See the video for details of the next few days.

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Shadow was seen....

Phil up in Pennsylvania saw his shadow, so, as the story goes, that means six more weeks of Winter. Of course, since we are only 5 or 6 weeks into Winter, seems to me Winter will continue until its normally-scheduled change to Spring on March 20. But I digress....

Enjoy the weekend....

The photo above is courtesy of The Punxsutawney Groundhog Club.

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Goundhog Day

Groundhog Day is upon us, and it will be quite mild this weekend. It will also be dry this weekend, so get out and enjoy!

Some showers are possible Sunday night into Monday as a warm front lifts through the area. I think many locations will then have a shot at 70 degrees Tuesday afternoon before a cold front sweeps through by Wednesday morning. That cold front will bring us a round of rain and possibly a few storms Tuesday night.

We will then cool down behind that system a bit, but nothing overly cold at all. In fact, I don't see any major intrusions of arctic air into our part of the country for the next week or so.

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